Skip to main content

United Nations predictions & odds

·
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

53%

Rafael Grossi

$128K Vol.

$59.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

45%

Rafael Grossi

$76.9K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

5

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

83%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$17M Vol.

$61.5K today

$2M Liq.

124

Ends in 6 months

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

$38M Vol.

$871K Liq.

73

Ends in 6 months

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

85%

Delcy Rodríguez

$221K Vol.

$296K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

13%

$2M Vol.

$195K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

2%

$1M Vol.

$181K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

4%

$12M Vol.

$141K Liq.

50

Ends in 6 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

24%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$8.8K Vol.

$130K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

4%

$418K Vol.

$81.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in July 2026?

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in July 2026?

41%

1

$13.7K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

9%

$307K Vol.

$75.2K Liq.

Ends in 12 months

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

41%

$15.8K Vol.

$26.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

11%

$192K Vol.

$34.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

25%

0

$4.1K Vol.

$43.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

16%

$94 Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

António Guterres out by December 31?

António Guterres out by December 31?

26%

$1.8K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like United Nations.

Polymarket currently hosts 17 active markets for United Nations that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Secretary-General of the United Nations”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $71.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran leader end of 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on United Nations predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.