Current weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF project Chongqing's March 27 high temperature tightly clustered between 19°C and 22°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds at 20-26% implied probabilities for these outcomes. Recent forecast refinements highlight mild southerly flows in the Yangtze basin offsetting light cloud cover, with diurnal peaks expected mid-afternoon amid urban heat island amplification in the city's basin topography. Differentiating factors include model spread on insolation—ECMWF leans cooler at 19-20°C due to higher clouds, while GFS edges warmer to 21-22°C on clearer skies—against historical March averages of 18-20°C. Official observations will resolve precise maxima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
19°C 25%
21°C 23%
20°C 23%
18°C 15%
16°C or below
6%
17°C
8%
18°C
15%
19°C
25%
20°C
23%
21°C
23%
22°C
14%
23°C
11%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
2%
19°C 25%
21°C 23%
20°C 23%
18°C 15%
16°C or below
6%
17°C
8%
18°C
15%
19°C
25%
20°C
23%
21°C
23%
22°C
14%
23°C
11%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF project Chongqing's March 27 high temperature tightly clustered between 19°C and 22°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds at 20-26% implied probabilities for these outcomes. Recent forecast refinements highlight mild southerly flows in the Yangtze basin offsetting light cloud cover, with diurnal peaks expected mid-afternoon amid urban heat island amplification in the city's basin topography. Differentiating factors include model spread on insolation—ECMWF leans cooler at 19-20°C due to higher clouds, while GFS edges warmer to 21-22°C on clearer skies—against historical March averages of 18-20°C. Official observations will resolve precise maxima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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