Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Munich high temperature of 8°C (25%) or 9°C (21.5%) on March 28, driven by the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble forecasts projecting mild southerly flows bringing highs in the upper single digits amid partial cloud cover. These edge out 10°C (16.5%) and 7°C (14%) due to model consensus on peak afternoon temperatures around 8-9°C, with slight divergences from timing of a weak frontal boundary that could suppress or boost insolation. March climatology supports this range—historical highs average 10°C—but current geopotential height patterns indicate limited stratospheric influence, tempering extremes; traders eye tonight's 12z model updates for resolution shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique em 28 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Munique em 28 de março?
8°C 25%
9°C 22%
10°C 17%
7°C 14%
5°C ou menos
7%
6°C
5%
7°C
14%
8°C
25%
9°C
22%
10°C
17%
11°C
10%
12°C
8%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C ou mais
2%
8°C 25%
9°C 22%
10°C 17%
7°C 14%
5°C ou menos
7%
6°C
5%
7°C
14%
8°C
25%
9°C
22%
10°C
17%
11°C
10%
12°C
8%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Munich high temperature of 8°C (25%) or 9°C (21.5%) on March 28, driven by the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble forecasts projecting mild southerly flows bringing highs in the upper single digits amid partial cloud cover. These edge out 10°C (16.5%) and 7°C (14%) due to model consensus on peak afternoon temperatures around 8-9°C, with slight divergences from timing of a weak frontal boundary that could suppress or boost insolation. March climatology supports this range—historical highs average 10°C—but current geopotential height patterns indicate limited stratospheric influence, tempering extremes; traders eye tonight's 12z model updates for resolution shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions