California's 29th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+20, where incumbent Representative Luz Rivas won election in 2024 by nearly 70 percent. The June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary features two Democratic candidates and one Republican, setting up an expected Democratic nominee for the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 88.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with historical results and the absence of competitive challengers that could alter the outcome before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-29 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-29 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$17,171 Объем
$17,171 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
89%
Республиканская партия
6%
$17,171 Объем
$17,171 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$10,338 Объем
89%
Республиканская партия
$6,833 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 29th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+20, where incumbent Representative Luz Rivas won election in 2024 by nearly 70 percent. The June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary features two Democratic candidates and one Republican, setting up an expected Democratic nominee for the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 88.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with historical results and the absence of competitive challengers that could alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$17,171Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 29th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+20, where incumbent Representative Luz Rivas won election in 2024 by nearly 70 percent. The June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary features two Democratic candidates and one Republican, setting up an expected Democratic nominee for the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 88.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with historical results and the absence of competitive challengers that could alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$17,171Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 29th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+20, where incumbent Representative Luz Rivas won election in 2024 by nearly 70 percent. The June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary features two Democratic candidates and one Republican, setting up an expected Democratic nominee for the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 88.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with historical results and the absence of competitive challengers that could alter the outcome before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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