Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 90-91°F (29.5% implied probability) and 88-89°F (29.0%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts for Austin's high temperature on April 17 at upper 80s to low 90s under a building high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and southerly winds above the April climatological normal of 80°F. Mostly cloudy skies introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks via reduced solar insolation, while model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show slight divergence on afternoon clearing and boundary layer mixing. Recent warm early-April trend in Central Texas, with no precipitation threats, drives elevated odds, but final NWS updates and 12Z model runs today could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Austin on April 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
90-91°F 31%
88-89°F 29%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
3%
96°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 31%
88-89°F 29%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
77°F or below
$1,869 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$605 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$543 Объем
1%
82-83°F
$528 Объем
1%
84-85°F
$422 Объем
7%
86-87°F
$146 Объем
17%
88-89°F
$195 Объем
29%
90-91°F
$392 Объем
31%
92-93°F
$1,228 Объем
12%
94-95°F
$661 Объем
3%
96°F or higher
$1,643 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 90-91°F (29.5% implied probability) and 88-89°F (29.0%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts for Austin's high temperature on April 17 at upper 80s to low 90s under a building high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and southerly winds above the April climatological normal of 80°F. Mostly cloudy skies introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks via reduced solar insolation, while model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show slight divergence on afternoon clearing and boundary layer mixing. Recent warm early-April trend in Central Texas, with no precipitation threats, drives elevated odds, but final NWS updates and 12Z model runs today could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Объем
$8,231Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 90-91°F (29.5% implied probability) and 88-89°F (29.0%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts for Austin's high temperature on April 17 at upper 80s to low 90s under a building high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and southerly winds above the April climatological normal of 80°F. Mostly cloudy skies introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks via reduced solar insolation, while model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show slight divergence on afternoon clearing and boundary layer mixing. Recent warm early-April trend in Central Texas, with no precipitation threats, drives elevated odds, but final NWS updates and 12Z model runs today could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$8,231Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 90-91°F (29.5% implied probability) and 88-89°F (29.0%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts for Austin's high temperature on April 17 at upper 80s to low 90s under a building high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and southerly winds above the April climatological normal of 80°F. Mostly cloudy skies introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks via reduced solar insolation, while model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show slight divergence on afternoon clearing and boundary layer mixing. Recent warm early-April trend in Central Texas, with no precipitation threats, drives elevated odds, but final NWS updates and 12Z model runs today could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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