Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 17 at 23-24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, driving trader consensus toward these tightly clustered outcomes with 28% implied probability for 24°C and 25.5% for 23°C. Yesterday's observed 23°C peak gave way to today's cooler 17°C high amid rain and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, but anticipated clearing tomorrow boosts solar insolation potential while lingering soil moisture and frontal influences cap extremes. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud variability—thicker cover favors 22°C (20% odds), fuller sun pushes toward 25°C (18.5%)—against mid-April climatological averages of 21-22°C. Monitor CMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
24°C 29%
23°C 26%
22°C 19%
25°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
5%
22°C
19%
23°C
26%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 29%
23°C 26%
22°C 19%
25°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$688 Объем
5%
22°C
$454 Объем
19%
23°C
$233 Объем
26%
24°C
$344 Объем
29%
25°C
$420 Объем
19%
26°C
$1,061 Объем
9%
27°C
$635 Объем
4%
28°C
$1,557 Объем
2%
29°C
$874 Объем
1%
30°C
$931 Объем
<1%
31°C or higher
$721 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 17 at 23-24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, driving trader consensus toward these tightly clustered outcomes with 28% implied probability for 24°C and 25.5% for 23°C. Yesterday's observed 23°C peak gave way to today's cooler 17°C high amid rain and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, but anticipated clearing tomorrow boosts solar insolation potential while lingering soil moisture and frontal influences cap extremes. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud variability—thicker cover favors 22°C (20% odds), fuller sun pushes toward 25°C (18.5%)—against mid-April climatological averages of 21-22°C. Monitor CMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ET
Объем
$7,910Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 17 at 23-24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, driving trader consensus toward these tightly clustered outcomes with 28% implied probability for 24°C and 25.5% for 23°C. Yesterday's observed 23°C peak gave way to today's cooler 17°C high amid rain and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, but anticipated clearing tomorrow boosts solar insolation potential while lingering soil moisture and frontal influences cap extremes. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud variability—thicker cover favors 22°C (20% odds), fuller sun pushes toward 25°C (18.5%)—against mid-April climatological averages of 21-22°C. Monitor CMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$7,910Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 17 at 23-24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, driving trader consensus toward these tightly clustered outcomes with 28% implied probability for 24°C and 25.5% for 23°C. Yesterday's observed 23°C peak gave way to today's cooler 17°C high amid rain and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, but anticipated clearing tomorrow boosts solar insolation potential while lingering soil moisture and frontal influences cap extremes. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud variability—thicker cover favors 22°C (20% odds), fuller sun pushes toward 25°C (18.5%)—against mid-April climatological averages of 21-22°C. Monitor CMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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