Latest global model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, project a 20–27°C spread for Buenos Aires' maximum temperature on April 17, fueling the tight trader consensus with 24–26°C outcomes each at roughly 23–26% implied probability amid high short-range uncertainty. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates point to partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms, potentially limiting peaks via reduced insolation and sea breeze moderation, though some runs favor brief clearings pushing toward 25–26°C. Yesterday's rainy high of 23°C aligns with mild autumn patterns (historical April average ~22°C on the Saffir-Simpson precursor scales for heat, but climatologically stable). Fresh SMN bulletins and model refreshes expected in the next 24 hours could shift the balance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
25°C 28%
24°C 27%
26°C 22%
23°C 16%
$14,833 Объем
$14,833 Объем
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
16%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 28%
24°C 27%
26°C 22%
23°C 16%
$14,833 Объем
$14,833 Объем
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
16%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest global model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, project a 20–27°C spread for Buenos Aires' maximum temperature on April 17, fueling the tight trader consensus with 24–26°C outcomes each at roughly 23–26% implied probability amid high short-range uncertainty. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates point to partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms, potentially limiting peaks via reduced insolation and sea breeze moderation, though some runs favor brief clearings pushing toward 25–26°C. Yesterday's rainy high of 23°C aligns with mild autumn patterns (historical April average ~22°C on the Saffir-Simpson precursor scales for heat, but climatologically stable). Fresh SMN bulletins and model refreshes expected in the next 24 hours could shift the balance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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