The South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest guidance, alongside ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, points to Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17 clustering in the 16-18°C range under partly cloudy conditions and cool southerly winds, reflecting an autumnal dip influenced by a nearby cold, wet system affecting the Western Cape with wind chill advisories. Trader-implied probabilities highlight genuine uncertainty differentiating the leaders—17°C (27.5%), 16°C (25.5%), and 18°C (23.0%)—stemming from model spread: ECMWF favors cooler outcomes due to higher cloud cover and potential isolated showers limiting insolation, while GFS allows slight warming if clearing occurs post-sea breeze onset. Historical April maxima average 22°C, but Benguela Current upwelling suppresses extremes; monitor SAWS hourly updates and Cape Town International Airport observations for pivotal shifts ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
16°C 29%
17°C 28%
18°C 21%
15°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
10%
15°C
14%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
21%
19°C
12%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
16°C 29%
17°C 28%
18°C 21%
15°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
$481 Объем
10%
15°C
$16 Объем
14%
16°C
$111 Объем
27%
17°C
$37 Объем
28%
18°C
$28 Объем
21%
19°C
$594 Объем
12%
20°C
$507 Объем
4%
21°C
$782 Объем
2%
22°C
$760 Объем
1%
23°C
$977 Объем
1%
24°C or higher
$1,133 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest guidance, alongside ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, points to Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17 clustering in the 16-18°C range under partly cloudy conditions and cool southerly winds, reflecting an autumnal dip influenced by a nearby cold, wet system affecting the Western Cape with wind chill advisories. Trader-implied probabilities highlight genuine uncertainty differentiating the leaders—17°C (27.5%), 16°C (25.5%), and 18°C (23.0%)—stemming from model spread: ECMWF favors cooler outcomes due to higher cloud cover and potential isolated showers limiting insolation, while GFS allows slight warming if clearing occurs post-sea breeze onset. Historical April maxima average 22°C, but Benguela Current upwelling suppresses extremes; monitor SAWS hourly updates and Cape Town International Airport observations for pivotal shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$5,426Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest guidance, alongside ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, points to Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17 clustering in the 16-18°C range under partly cloudy conditions and cool southerly winds, reflecting an autumnal dip influenced by a nearby cold, wet system affecting the Western Cape with wind chill advisories. Trader-implied probabilities highlight genuine uncertainty differentiating the leaders—17°C (27.5%), 16°C (25.5%), and 18°C (23.0%)—stemming from model spread: ECMWF favors cooler outcomes due to higher cloud cover and potential isolated showers limiting insolation, while GFS allows slight warming if clearing occurs post-sea breeze onset. Historical April maxima average 22°C, but Benguela Current upwelling suppresses extremes; monitor SAWS hourly updates and Cape Town International Airport observations for pivotal shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$5,426Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest guidance, alongside ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, points to Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17 clustering in the 16-18°C range under partly cloudy conditions and cool southerly winds, reflecting an autumnal dip influenced by a nearby cold, wet system affecting the Western Cape with wind chill advisories. Trader-implied probabilities highlight genuine uncertainty differentiating the leaders—17°C (27.5%), 16°C (25.5%), and 18°C (23.0%)—stemming from model spread: ECMWF favors cooler outcomes due to higher cloud cover and potential isolated showers limiting insolation, while GFS allows slight warming if clearing occurs post-sea breeze onset. Historical April maxima average 22°C, but Benguela Current upwelling suppresses extremes; monitor SAWS hourly updates and Cape Town International Airport observations for pivotal shifts ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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