Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 at 31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and moderate humidity around 75%, aligning with recent observations of 29–30°C peaks through April 15 amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 31°C, reflecting strong model consensus—including local mesoscale guidance—and trader confidence in stable atmospheric conditions without upper-level ridging or dry air intrusion for escalation. April climatology typically sees highs near 26°C, but this month's +3°C anomaly fits without extremes. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 32°C+, though abundant low-level moisture limits upside; official station readings from Baiyun district will confirm by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
31°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$79,640 Объем
НОВОЕ
$79,640 Объем
16 апр. 2026 г.
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$79,640 Объем
НОВОЕ
$79,640 Объем
16 апр. 2026 г.
31°C
$61,478 Объем
99%
32°C
$3,248 Объем
<1%
33°C
$1,694 Объем
<1%
34°C
$1,298 Объем
<1%
35°C
$1,457 Объем
<1%
36°C
$2,161 Объем
<1%
37°C
$1,263 Объем
<1%
38°C
$519 Объем
<1%
39°C or higher
$863 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 at 31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and moderate humidity around 75%, aligning with recent observations of 29–30°C peaks through April 15 amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 31°C, reflecting strong model consensus—including local mesoscale guidance—and trader confidence in stable atmospheric conditions without upper-level ridging or dry air intrusion for escalation. April climatology typically sees highs near 26°C, but this month's +3°C anomaly fits without extremes. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 32°C+, though abundant low-level moisture limits upside; official station readings from Baiyun district will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Объем
$79,640Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 at 31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and moderate humidity around 75%, aligning with recent observations of 29–30°C peaks through April 15 amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 31°C, reflecting strong model consensus—including local mesoscale guidance—and trader confidence in stable atmospheric conditions without upper-level ridging or dry air intrusion for escalation. April climatology typically sees highs near 26°C, but this month's +3°C anomaly fits without extremes. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 32°C+, though abundant low-level moisture limits upside; official station readings from Baiyun district will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$79,640Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 at 31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and moderate humidity around 75%, aligning with recent observations of 29–30°C peaks through April 15 amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 31°C, reflecting strong model consensus—including local mesoscale guidance—and trader confidence in stable atmospheric conditions without upper-level ridging or dry air intrusion for escalation. April climatology typically sees highs near 26°C, but this month's +3°C anomaly fits without extremes. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 32°C+, though abundant low-level moisture limits upside; official station readings from Baiyun district will confirm by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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