The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated as of April 16, projects a maximum temperature range of 25–29°C for April 17 under light south winds force 2–3, mainly cloudy skies with a few showers but hot conditions featuring sunny intervals that enable peak daytime heating. This drives trader consensus toward 29°C at 49.5% implied probability, with 30°C at 19% reflecting potential for slight model overperformance amid above-normal seasonal temperatures for April–June 2026. Recent observations show air temperatures around 25°C early on April 16, consistent with southerly airstream warming. Uncertainties include shower development or increased cloud cover, which could cap highs at 28°C (15.5%); monitor HKO's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Observatory measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 17 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 17 апреля?
29°C 56%
28°C 22%
30°C 11%
31°C или выше 2.5%
$68,056 Объем
$68,056 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
22%
29°C
56%
30°C
11%
31°C или выше
2%
29°C 56%
28°C 22%
30°C 11%
31°C или выше 2.5%
$68,056 Объем
$68,056 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
22%
29°C
56%
30°C
11%
31°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated as of April 16, projects a maximum temperature range of 25–29°C for April 17 under light south winds force 2–3, mainly cloudy skies with a few showers but hot conditions featuring sunny intervals that enable peak daytime heating. This drives trader consensus toward 29°C at 49.5% implied probability, with 30°C at 19% reflecting potential for slight model overperformance amid above-normal seasonal temperatures for April–June 2026. Recent observations show air temperatures around 25°C early on April 16, consistent with southerly airstream warming. Uncertainties include shower development or increased cloud cover, which could cap highs at 28°C (15.5%); monitor HKO's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Observatory measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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