Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated 11:30 HKT on April 16, projects a maximum temperature around 29°C at the Observatory on April 17 under sunny intervals and hot daytime conditions, with a 25–29°C range amid a southerly airstream and approaching low-pressure trough bringing isolated showers later. This positions 29°C as the market-implied frontrunner at 57.5%, aligning with trader consensus on official guidance following today's Observatory high of 30.2°C—the warmest this year so far—and April's above-normal mean maximum of 27.6°C through the 15th. Probabilities taper for 30°C (15.5%) due to potential shower-induced cloud cover capping heating, while 28°C (14%) accounts for model uncertainty in subsidence and insolation; HKO's next bulletin at 18:30 HKT and real-time observations will refine trajectories.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 17 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 17 апреля?
29°C 59%
30°C 16%
28°C 14%
27°C 5.1%
$71,672 Объем
$71,672 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
59%
30°C
16%
31°C или выше
4%
29°C 59%
30°C 16%
28°C 14%
27°C 5.1%
$71,672 Объем
$71,672 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
59%
30°C
16%
31°C или выше
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated 11:30 HKT on April 16, projects a maximum temperature around 29°C at the Observatory on April 17 under sunny intervals and hot daytime conditions, with a 25–29°C range amid a southerly airstream and approaching low-pressure trough bringing isolated showers later. This positions 29°C as the market-implied frontrunner at 57.5%, aligning with trader consensus on official guidance following today's Observatory high of 30.2°C—the warmest this year so far—and April's above-normal mean maximum of 27.6°C through the 15th. Probabilities taper for 30°C (15.5%) due to potential shower-induced cloud cover capping heating, while 28°C (14%) accounts for model uncertainty in subsidence and insolation; HKO's next bulletin at 18:30 HKT and real-time observations will refine trajectories.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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