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Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?

апр. 15

апр. 16

апр. 17

апр. 15

апр. 16

апр. 17

84-85°F 38%

82-83°F 34%

86-87°F 17%

80-81°F 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

84-85°F 38%

82-83°F 34%

86-87°F 17%

80-81°F 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

79°F or below

$1,076 Объем

4%

80-81°F

$304 Объем

11%

82-83°F

$403 Объем

34%

84-85°F

$307 Объем

38%

86-87°F

$575 Объем

17%

88-89°F

$1,116 Объем

2%

90-91°F

$1,773 Объем

1%

92-93°F

$483 Объем

1%

94-95°F

$692 Объем

1%

96-97°F

$651 Объем

1%

98°F or higher

$479 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project Houston's April 17 high temperature clustering in the 81-85°F range amid southerly winds drawing Gulf moisture northward. The edge for 82-83°F at 39% over 84-85°F at 31% stems from recent forecast discussions highlighting 65% precipitation odds and diurnal convective activity that could cap peak heating under partial cloud cover, versus clearer skies in drier ensemble members pushing toward mid-80s. Above-normal April warmth per NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, building on early-month highs in the 80s, underpins the shift from climatological 81°F normals, with new 12z runs and NWS updates expected to sharpen differentiation before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$7,836
Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project Houston's April 17 high temperature clustering in the 81-85°F range amid southerly winds drawing Gulf moisture northward. The edge for 82-83°F at 39% over 84-85°F at 31% stems from recent forecast discussions highlighting 65% precipitation odds and diurnal convective activity that could cap peak heating under partial cloud cover, versus clearer skies in drier ensemble members pushing toward mid-80s. Above-normal April warmth per NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, building on early-month highs in the 80s, underpins the shift from climatological 81°F normals, with new 12z runs and NWS updates expected to sharpen differentiation before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$7,836
Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «84-85°F» с 38%, за ним следует «82-83°F» с 34%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 38¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 15, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?» — «84-85°F» с 38%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Следующий ближайший исход — «82-83°F» с 34%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.