Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (35.5% implied probability) and 12°C (33.5%) as Istanbul Airport's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 12-14°C amid persistent northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover limiting solar insolation. Recent model runs reflect yesterday's overcast conditions and cool highs near 13°C, with a lingering low-pressure influence fostering patchy rain risks that could cap peaks at 12°C if overcast dominates, or push to 13-14°C with brief diurnal clearing. Key differentiators include boundary-layer mixing from gusty northeast winds and cloud fraction variability, below April climatological norms of 15-17°C. New forecasts from Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models expected overnight may sharpen odds ahead of resolution per NOAA observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
13°C 36%
12°C 33%
14°C 22%
11°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
33%
13°C
36%
14°C
22%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 36%
12°C 33%
14°C 22%
11°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$1,165 Объем
<1%
9°C
$1,351 Объем
<1%
10°C
$1,635 Объем
2%
11°C
$2,066 Объем
5%
12°C
$298 Объем
33%
13°C
$364 Объем
36%
14°C
$276 Объем
22%
15°C
$728 Объем
4%
16°C
$707 Объем
1%
17°C
$1,047 Объем
<1%
18°C or higher
$1,209 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (35.5% implied probability) and 12°C (33.5%) as Istanbul Airport's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 12-14°C amid persistent northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover limiting solar insolation. Recent model runs reflect yesterday's overcast conditions and cool highs near 13°C, with a lingering low-pressure influence fostering patchy rain risks that could cap peaks at 12°C if overcast dominates, or push to 13-14°C with brief diurnal clearing. Key differentiators include boundary-layer mixing from gusty northeast winds and cloud fraction variability, below April climatological norms of 15-17°C. New forecasts from Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models expected overnight may sharpen odds ahead of resolution per NOAA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Объем
$9,135Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (35.5% implied probability) and 12°C (33.5%) as Istanbul Airport's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 12-14°C amid persistent northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover limiting solar insolation. Recent model runs reflect yesterday's overcast conditions and cool highs near 13°C, with a lingering low-pressure influence fostering patchy rain risks that could cap peaks at 12°C if overcast dominates, or push to 13-14°C with brief diurnal clearing. Key differentiators include boundary-layer mixing from gusty northeast winds and cloud fraction variability, below April climatological norms of 15-17°C. New forecasts from Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models expected overnight may sharpen odds ahead of resolution per NOAA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$9,135Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (35.5% implied probability) and 12°C (33.5%) as Istanbul Airport's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 12-14°C amid persistent northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover limiting solar insolation. Recent model runs reflect yesterday's overcast conditions and cool highs near 13°C, with a lingering low-pressure influence fostering patchy rain risks that could cap peaks at 12°C if overcast dominates, or push to 13-14°C with brief diurnal clearing. Key differentiators include boundary-layer mixing from gusty northeast winds and cloud fraction variability, below April climatological norms of 15-17°C. New forecasts from Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models expected overnight may sharpen odds ahead of resolution per NOAA observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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