Latest AEMET and ECMWF forecast model ensembles point to a high of 13-14°C in Madrid on March 29, shaped by persistent high pressure over Iberia funneling cool northerly winds and limiting solar heating, with minimal cloud cover variability. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these outcomes (26.5% for 14°C, 21.5% for 13°C, 20% for 12°C) due to ensemble spread: cooler GFS outliers suggest possible 11-12°C if stronger cold air advection occurs, while warmer ICON runs hint at 15°C under clearer skies. Below March climatological averages of 16°C, current jet stream positioning adds uncertainty; daily AEMET updates through March 28 will clarify cloud dynamics and boundary layer mixing critical to the peak temperature.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on March 29?
Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?
14°C 27%
13°C 22%
12°C 20%
11°C or below 14%
11°C or below
14%
12°C
20%
13°C
22%
14°C
27%
15°C
12%
16°C
9%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
14°C 27%
13°C 22%
12°C 20%
11°C or below 14%
11°C or below
14%
12°C
20%
13°C
22%
14°C
27%
15°C
12%
16°C
9%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET and ECMWF forecast model ensembles point to a high of 13-14°C in Madrid on March 29, shaped by persistent high pressure over Iberia funneling cool northerly winds and limiting solar heating, with minimal cloud cover variability. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these outcomes (26.5% for 14°C, 21.5% for 13°C, 20% for 12°C) due to ensemble spread: cooler GFS outliers suggest possible 11-12°C if stronger cold air advection occurs, while warmer ICON runs hint at 15°C under clearer skies. Below March climatological averages of 16°C, current jet stream positioning adds uncertainty; daily AEMET updates through March 28 will clarify cloud dynamics and boundary layer mixing critical to the peak temperature.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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