The Polymarket odds for Paris's highest temperature on March 26 tilt toward 10°C (41%) over 9°C (31.5%), propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on afternoon peaks of 9-11°C under a mild westerly Atlantic flow displacing recent northerly chill. Differentiating these close outcomes are subtle model divergences: ECMWF implies slightly higher insolation with partial clearing around 2-4pm peak heating, potentially boosting urban heat island effects at the official Montsouris station, while Météo-France's Arome hints at persistent stratocumulus capping at 9°C. March climatology averages 12°C, but this week's 2°C anomaly from jet stream undulations keeps traders hedging the integer threshold amid 1-2°C forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on March 26?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 26?
10°C 40%
9°C 32%
11°C 14%
8°C 8%
$19,555 Объем
$19,555 Объем
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
8%
9°C
32%
10°C
40%
11°C
14%
12°C
4%
13°C
2%
14°C or higher
1%
10°C 40%
9°C 32%
11°C 14%
8°C 8%
$19,555 Объем
$19,555 Объем
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
8%
9°C
32%
10°C
40%
11°C
14%
12°C
4%
13°C
2%
14°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Polymarket odds for Paris's highest temperature on March 26 tilt toward 10°C (41%) over 9°C (31.5%), propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on afternoon peaks of 9-11°C under a mild westerly Atlantic flow displacing recent northerly chill. Differentiating these close outcomes are subtle model divergences: ECMWF implies slightly higher insolation with partial clearing around 2-4pm peak heating, potentially boosting urban heat island effects at the official Montsouris station, while Météo-France's Arome hints at persistent stratocumulus capping at 9°C. March climatology averages 12°C, but this week's 2°C anomaly from jet stream undulations keeps traders hedging the integer threshold amid 1-2°C forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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