Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan holds a commanding position in the MA-03 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results in recent cycles. Massachusetts has not elected a Republican to the House since 1994, and all nine current seats remain in Democratic hands heading into the 2026 midterms. The September 1 primary and November 3 general election occur in a state where voter registration and historical turnout heavily favor Democrats. Limited Republican candidate activity and fundraising to date reinforce trader consensus around the implied probability. A major national political shift, an unusually strong GOP challenger, or unforeseen developments affecting the incumbent could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$18,897 Объем
$18,897 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$18,897 Объем
$18,897 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$10,103 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$8,794 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan holds a commanding position in the MA-03 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results in recent cycles. Massachusetts has not elected a Republican to the House since 1994, and all nine current seats remain in Democratic hands heading into the 2026 midterms. The September 1 primary and November 3 general election occur in a state where voter registration and historical turnout heavily favor Democrats. Limited Republican candidate activity and fundraising to date reinforce trader consensus around the implied probability. A major national political shift, an unusually strong GOP challenger, or unforeseen developments affecting the incumbent could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$18,897Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan holds a commanding position in the MA-03 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results in recent cycles. Massachusetts has not elected a Republican to the House since 1994, and all nine current seats remain in Democratic hands heading into the 2026 midterms. The September 1 primary and November 3 general election occur in a state where voter registration and historical turnout heavily favor Democrats. Limited Republican candidate activity and fundraising to date reinforce trader consensus around the implied probability. A major national political shift, an unusually strong GOP challenger, or unforeseen developments affecting the incumbent could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$18,897Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan holds a commanding position in the MA-03 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results in recent cycles. Massachusetts has not elected a Republican to the House since 1994, and all nine current seats remain in Democratic hands heading into the 2026 midterms. The September 1 primary and November 3 general election occur in a state where voter registration and historical turnout heavily favor Democrats. Limited Republican candidate activity and fundraising to date reinforce trader consensus around the implied probability. A major national political shift, an unusually strong GOP challenger, or unforeseen developments affecting the incumbent could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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