The district's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+32 and consistent 80-plus percent margins for the party in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus that a Democrat will prevail in the November 2026 general election. Upper Manhattan and West Bronx neighborhoods that make up NY-13 feature demographics and voting patterns that have delivered overwhelming support for Democratic candidates, including incumbent Adriano Espaillat's 83 percent victory in 2024. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising further reduce the prospect of a competitive general-election challenge. The June 23 Democratic primary will determine the nominee, but all declared candidates are Democrats, preserving the party's hold barring extraordinary developments. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a late-emerging scandal or health event affecting the eventual nominee, or an unprecedented national political shift capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan advantage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-13
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-13
$33,775 Объем
$33,775 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
5%
$33,775 Объем
$33,775 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$21,733 Объем
96%
Республиканская партия
$12,042 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+32 and consistent 80-plus percent margins for the party in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus that a Democrat will prevail in the November 2026 general election. Upper Manhattan and West Bronx neighborhoods that make up NY-13 feature demographics and voting patterns that have delivered overwhelming support for Democratic candidates, including incumbent Adriano Espaillat's 83 percent victory in 2024. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising further reduce the prospect of a competitive general-election challenge. The June 23 Democratic primary will determine the nominee, but all declared candidates are Democrats, preserving the party's hold barring extraordinary developments. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a late-emerging scandal or health event affecting the eventual nominee, or an unprecedented national political shift capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$33,775Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+32 and consistent 80-plus percent margins for the party in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus that a Democrat will prevail in the November 2026 general election. Upper Manhattan and West Bronx neighborhoods that make up NY-13 feature demographics and voting patterns that have delivered overwhelming support for Democratic candidates, including incumbent Adriano Espaillat's 83 percent victory in 2024. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising further reduce the prospect of a competitive general-election challenge. The June 23 Democratic primary will determine the nominee, but all declared candidates are Democrats, preserving the party's hold barring extraordinary developments. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a late-emerging scandal or health event affecting the eventual nominee, or an unprecedented national political shift capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$33,775Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+32 and consistent 80-plus percent margins for the party in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus that a Democrat will prevail in the November 2026 general election. Upper Manhattan and West Bronx neighborhoods that make up NY-13 feature demographics and voting patterns that have delivered overwhelming support for Democratic candidates, including incumbent Adriano Espaillat's 83 percent victory in 2024. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising further reduce the prospect of a competitive general-election challenge. The June 23 Democratic primary will determine the nominee, but all declared candidates are Democrats, preserving the party's hold barring extraordinary developments. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a late-emerging scandal or health event affecting the eventual nominee, or an unprecedented national political shift capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan advantage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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