Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada's 3rd Congressional District, a suburban Las Vegas area with a narrow partisan lean that has delivered her narrow victories in 2022 and 2024. Forecasters rate the November 2026 general election as Lean Democratic, citing her moderate record, strong fundraising, and primary performance against Republican challenger Marty O'Donnell, who secured his party's nomination. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the balance. A Republican pickup would require substantial national tailwinds, suburban voter realignment, or unexpected developments in turnout or economic conditions within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNV-03 House Election Winner
NV-03 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,270 Обс.
92%
Republican Party
$1,708 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada's 3rd Congressional District, a suburban Las Vegas area with a narrow partisan lean that has delivered her narrow victories in 2022 and 2024. Forecasters rate the November 2026 general election as Lean Democratic, citing her moderate record, strong fundraising, and primary performance against Republican challenger Marty O'Donnell, who secured his party's nomination. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the balance. A Republican pickup would require substantial national tailwinds, suburban voter realignment, or unexpected developments in turnout or economic conditions within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,978Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada's 3rd Congressional District, a suburban Las Vegas area with a narrow partisan lean that has delivered her narrow victories in 2022 and 2024. Forecasters rate the November 2026 general election as Lean Democratic, citing her moderate record, strong fundraising, and primary performance against Republican challenger Marty O'Donnell, who secured his party's nomination. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the balance. A Republican pickup would require substantial national tailwinds, suburban voter realignment, or unexpected developments in turnout or economic conditions within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$4,978Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada's 3rd Congressional District, a suburban Las Vegas area with a narrow partisan lean that has delivered her narrow victories in 2022 and 2024. Forecasters rate the November 2026 general election as Lean Democratic, citing her moderate record, strong fundraising, and primary performance against Republican challenger Marty O'Donnell, who secured his party's nomination. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent retention rates in similar districts and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the balance. A Republican pickup would require substantial national tailwinds, suburban voter realignment, or unexpected developments in turnout or economic conditions within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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