The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the 2026 midterms, drawing crowded primary fields on both sides. The district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential elections underpin the 72% trader consensus on a GOP victory in November, as forecasters rate the race Safe Republican. Democrats view the vacancy as a rare opening to compete in northern Nevada, where the party has never won the seat, though structural advantages for Republicans and the absence of public polling showing a close contest keep the Democratic implied probability at 26%. Primary outcomes expected in June 2026 will clarify nominees and test whether fundraising or candidate quality can narrow the gap before the general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNV-02 House Election Winner
NV-02 House Election Winner
$19,946 Обс.
$19,946 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
26%
$19,946 Обс.
$19,946 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,420 Обс.
72%
Democratic Party
$8,527 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the 2026 midterms, drawing crowded primary fields on both sides. The district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential elections underpin the 72% trader consensus on a GOP victory in November, as forecasters rate the race Safe Republican. Democrats view the vacancy as a rare opening to compete in northern Nevada, where the party has never won the seat, though structural advantages for Republicans and the absence of public polling showing a close contest keep the Democratic implied probability at 26%. Primary outcomes expected in June 2026 will clarify nominees and test whether fundraising or candidate quality can narrow the gap before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,946Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the 2026 midterms, drawing crowded primary fields on both sides. The district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential elections underpin the 72% trader consensus on a GOP victory in November, as forecasters rate the race Safe Republican. Democrats view the vacancy as a rare opening to compete in northern Nevada, where the party has never won the seat, though structural advantages for Republicans and the absence of public polling showing a close contest keep the Democratic implied probability at 26%. Primary outcomes expected in June 2026 will clarify nominees and test whether fundraising or candidate quality can narrow the gap before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$19,946Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei has created an open seat in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the 2026 midterms, drawing crowded primary fields on both sides. The district's R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential elections underpin the 72% trader consensus on a GOP victory in November, as forecasters rate the race Safe Republican. Democrats view the vacancy as a rare opening to compete in northern Nevada, where the party has never won the seat, though structural advantages for Republicans and the absence of public polling showing a close contest keep the Democratic implied probability at 26%. Primary outcomes expected in June 2026 will clarify nominees and test whether fundraising or candidate quality can narrow the gap before the general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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