**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 6 high temperature centers on typical midsummer heat modulated by a stable, hot, and dry pattern across central Texas.** Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus point to a high in the mid-to-upper 90s (roughly 94–98 °F), aligning with the closely bunched leading market outcomes around 94–99 °F. Average July highs near 95–96 °F, combined with south-southeast winds of 10–15 mph and minimal cloud cover or rain chances through at least July 7, support this range while limiting upside to triple digits. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in daytime heating, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak afternoon sea-breeze or convective inhibition that could trim the peak by a degree or two versus stronger subsidence allowing a push toward 98–99 °F. Heat-index values are expected to exceed 100 °F due to humidity, but the market resolves strictly on observed air temperature at official stations. With the event less than 24 hours away, the latest NWS forecast updates and any overnight model runs will be the primary drivers of further odds movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧斯汀7月6日的最高溫度？
奧斯汀7月6日的最高溫度？
98-99°F 100.0%
83°F或以下 <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$93,706 交易量
$93,706 交易量
2026-07-06
83°F或以下
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
是
100-101°F
否
華氏102度或更高
否
98-99°F 100.0%
83°F或以下 <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$93,706 交易量
$93,706 交易量
2026-07-06
83°F或以下
$1,835 交易量
否
84-85°F
$2,320 交易量
否
86-87°F
$2,452 交易量
否
88-89°F
$9,330 交易量
否
90-91°F
$9,106 交易量
否
92-93°F
$21,359 交易量
否
94-95°F
$9,560 交易量
否
96-97°F
$13,651 交易量
否
98-99°F
$14,077 交易量
是
100-101°F
$4,948 交易量
否
華氏102度或更高
$5,068 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 6 high temperature centers on typical midsummer heat modulated by a stable, hot, and dry pattern across central Texas.** Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus point to a high in the mid-to-upper 90s (roughly 94–98 °F), aligning with the closely bunched leading market outcomes around 94–99 °F. Average July highs near 95–96 °F, combined with south-southeast winds of 10–15 mph and minimal cloud cover or rain chances through at least July 7, support this range while limiting upside to triple digits.
Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in daytime heating, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak afternoon sea-breeze or convective inhibition that could trim the peak by a degree or two versus stronger subsidence allowing a push toward 98–99 °F. Heat-index values are expected to exceed 100 °F due to humidity, but the market resolves strictly on observed air temperature at official stations. With the event less than 24 hours away, the latest NWS forecast updates and any overnight model runs will be the primary drivers of further odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$93,706結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 6 high temperature centers on typical midsummer heat modulated by a stable, hot, and dry pattern across central Texas.** Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus point to a high in the mid-to-upper 90s (roughly 94–98 °F), aligning with the closely bunched leading market outcomes around 94–99 °F. Average July highs near 95–96 °F, combined with south-southeast winds of 10–15 mph and minimal cloud cover or rain chances through at least July 7, support this range while limiting upside to triple digits.
Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in daytime heating, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak afternoon sea-breeze or convective inhibition that could trim the peak by a degree or two versus stronger subsidence allowing a push toward 98–99 °F. Heat-index values are expected to exceed 100 °F due to humidity, but the market resolves strictly on observed air temperature at official stations. With the event less than 24 hours away, the latest NWS forecast updates and any overnight model runs will be the primary drivers of further odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$93,706結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 6 high temperature centers on typical midsummer heat modulated by a stable, hot, and dry pattern across central Texas.** Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus point to a high in the mid-to-upper 90s (roughly 94–98 °F), aligning with the closely bunched leading market outcomes around 94–99 °F. Average July highs near 95–96 °F, combined with south-southeast winds of 10–15 mph and minimal cloud cover or rain chances through at least July 7, support this range while limiting upside to triple digits. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in daytime heating, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak afternoon sea-breeze or convective inhibition that could trim the peak by a degree or two versus stronger subsidence allowing a push toward 98–99 °F. Heat-index values are expected to exceed 100 °F due to humidity, but the market resolves strictly on observed air temperature at official stations. With the event less than 24 hours away, the latest NWS forecast updates and any overnight model runs will be the primary drivers of further odds movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions