Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs of 34–37°C on July 7 amid typical midsummer conditions, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak readings. Official climatology places July averages around 30–31°C, though recent years have seen more frequent exceedances of 35°C amid broader warming trends. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 35–38°C reflect this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月7日成都最高溫度？
7月7日成都最高溫度？
37°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$94,332 交易量
$94,332 交易量
2026-07-07
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$94,332 交易量
$94,332 交易量
2026-07-07
33°C or below
$10,870 交易量
No
34°C
$10,539 交易量
No
35°C
$7,944 交易量
No
36°C
$14,593 交易量
No
37°C
$13,630 交易量
Yes
38°C
$12,657 交易量
No
39°C
$14,174 交易量
No
40°C
$4,498 交易量
No
41°C
$3,395 交易量
No
42°C
$1,741 交易量
No
43°C or higher
$290 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs of 34–37°C on July 7 amid typical midsummer conditions, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak readings. Official climatology places July averages around 30–31°C, though recent years have seen more frequent exceedances of 35°C amid broader warming trends. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 35–38°C reflect this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$94,332結束日期
2026-07-07市場開放時間
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs of 34–37°C on July 7 amid typical midsummer conditions, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak readings. Official climatology places July averages around 30–31°C, though recent years have seen more frequent exceedances of 35°C amid broader warming trends. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 35–38°C reflect this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$94,332結束日期
2026-07-07市場開放時間
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs of 34–37°C on July 7 amid typical midsummer conditions, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak readings. Official climatology places July averages around 30–31°C, though recent years have seen more frequent exceedances of 35°C amid broader warming trends. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 35–38°C reflect this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions