Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations have driven trader consensus to 100% on Seoul's highest temperature reaching 21°C or higher on May 6, 2026, with midday readings at central stations confirming 22°C under persistent clear skies and a stable high-pressure system. Light southerly winds and low humidity have supported daytime heating consistent with early May climatology, where average highs hover around 22°C amid spring warming trends. Model forecasts from KMA aligned with this, projecting peaks of 20–23°C. Scenarios challenging this would require anomalous data revisions or undetected instrument errors in final end-of-day KMA reports, though such events are exceedingly rare given multiple station verifications. Traders await official daily maximum for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on May 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 6?
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$155,305 交易量
$155,305 交易量
2026-05-06
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$155,305 交易量
$155,305 交易量
2026-05-06
11°C or below
$6,463 交易量
No
12°C
$429 交易量
No
13°C
$11,312 交易量
No
14°C
$8,688 交易量
No
15°C
$6,646 交易量
No
16°C
$7,715 交易量
No
17°C
$14,250 交易量
No
18°C
$21,850 交易量
No
19°C
$22,295 交易量
No
20°C
$19,900 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$35,758 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations have driven trader consensus to 100% on Seoul's highest temperature reaching 21°C or higher on May 6, 2026, with midday readings at central stations confirming 22°C under persistent clear skies and a stable high-pressure system. Light southerly winds and low humidity have supported daytime heating consistent with early May climatology, where average highs hover around 22°C amid spring warming trends. Model forecasts from KMA aligned with this, projecting peaks of 20–23°C. Scenarios challenging this would require anomalous data revisions or undetected instrument errors in final end-of-day KMA reports, though such events are exceedingly rare given multiple station verifications. Traders await official daily maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
交易量
$155,305結束日期
2026-05-06市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations have driven trader consensus to 100% on Seoul's highest temperature reaching 21°C or higher on May 6, 2026, with midday readings at central stations confirming 22°C under persistent clear skies and a stable high-pressure system. Light southerly winds and low humidity have supported daytime heating consistent with early May climatology, where average highs hover around 22°C amid spring warming trends. Model forecasts from KMA aligned with this, projecting peaks of 20–23°C. Scenarios challenging this would require anomalous data revisions or undetected instrument errors in final end-of-day KMA reports, though such events are exceedingly rare given multiple station verifications. Traders await official daily maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$155,305結束日期
2026-05-06市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations have driven trader consensus to 100% on Seoul's highest temperature reaching 21°C or higher on May 6, 2026, with midday readings at central stations confirming 22°C under persistent clear skies and a stable high-pressure system. Light southerly winds and low humidity have supported daytime heating consistent with early May climatology, where average highs hover around 22°C amid spring warming trends. Model forecasts from KMA aligned with this, projecting peaks of 20–23°C. Scenarios challenging this would require anomalous data revisions or undetected instrument errors in final end-of-day KMA reports, though such events are exceedingly rare given multiple station verifications. Traders await official daily maximum for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions