Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models show above-average warmth across eastern Japan, positioning Tokyo for daytime highs near or above 29°C on June 1 amid an early summer heat pattern. This consensus stems from confirmed observational trends and model runs indicating warmer-than-normal conditions, well above the typical early-June average high of 25–26°C. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 29°C or higher reflects this strong scientific alignment, with minimal uncertainty in current guidance. A late-arriving cold front or unexpected heavy rainfall could theoretically cap temperatures below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 1?
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$53,765 交易量
$53,765 交易量
2026-06-01
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
Yes
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$53,765 交易量
$53,765 交易量
2026-06-01
19°C or below
$1,555 交易量
No
20°C
$643 交易量
No
21°C
$485 交易量
No
22°C
$382 交易量
No
23°C
$553 交易量
No
24°C
$713 交易量
No
25°C
$3,212 交易量
No
26°C
$8,308 交易量
No
27°C
$13,105 交易量
No
28°C
$10,652 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$14,157 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models show above-average warmth across eastern Japan, positioning Tokyo for daytime highs near or above 29°C on June 1 amid an early summer heat pattern. This consensus stems from confirmed observational trends and model runs indicating warmer-than-normal conditions, well above the typical early-June average high of 25–26°C. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 29°C or higher reflects this strong scientific alignment, with minimal uncertainty in current guidance. A late-arriving cold front or unexpected heavy rainfall could theoretically cap temperatures below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
交易量
$53,765結束日期
2026-06-01市場開放時間
May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models show above-average warmth across eastern Japan, positioning Tokyo for daytime highs near or above 29°C on June 1 amid an early summer heat pattern. This consensus stems from confirmed observational trends and model runs indicating warmer-than-normal conditions, well above the typical early-June average high of 25–26°C. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 29°C or higher reflects this strong scientific alignment, with minimal uncertainty in current guidance. A late-arriving cold front or unexpected heavy rainfall could theoretically cap temperatures below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$53,765結束日期
2026-06-01市場開放時間
May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models show above-average warmth across eastern Japan, positioning Tokyo for daytime highs near or above 29°C on June 1 amid an early summer heat pattern. This consensus stems from confirmed observational trends and model runs indicating warmer-than-normal conditions, well above the typical early-June average high of 25–26°C. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 29°C or higher reflects this strong scientific alignment, with minimal uncertainty in current guidance. A late-arriving cold front or unexpected heavy rainfall could theoretically cap temperatures below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions