Forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Denver’s overnight low for August 23 near 64–66°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and a lingering warm air mass following scattered thunderstorms earlier in the week. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the late-August climatological average of 58–60°F. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 68–69°F bin because recent model runs show minimal cooling potential, while the 37.5% on 57°F or below reflects residual uncertainty from possible clearer skies or a slightly stronger downslope flow. Upcoming evening observations and the final NWS verification will determine resolution, with any shift in cloud cover or wind the primary variable that could move probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日丹佛的最低溫度?
57°F或以下 75%
58-59°F 75%
60-61°F 75%
62-63°F 75%
$924 交易量
$924 交易量
57°F或以下
75%
58-59°F
75%
60-61°F
75%
62-63°F
75%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
63%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
華氏74-75度
<1%
76°F或更高
<1%
57°F或以下 75%
58-59°F 75%
60-61°F 75%
62-63°F 75%
$924 交易量
$924 交易量
57°F或以下
75%
58-59°F
75%
60-61°F
75%
62-63°F
75%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
63%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
華氏74-75度
<1%
76°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Denver’s overnight low for August 23 near 64–66°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and a lingering warm air mass following scattered thunderstorms earlier in the week. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the late-August climatological average of 58–60°F. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 68–69°F bin because recent model runs show minimal cooling potential, while the 37.5% on 57°F or below reflects residual uncertainty from possible clearer skies or a slightly stronger downslope flow. Upcoming evening observations and the final NWS verification will determine resolution, with any shift in cloud cover or wind the primary variable that could move probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions