Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 17–18°C for Madrid on August 25, driven by overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–5 m/s, and moderate humidity levels near 70–85% during the pre-dawn hours. These conditions favor typical late-summer minimums near the seasonal average of 18–19°C, with limited cloud cover reducing insulation and preventing significant warm advection. Model spreads arise mainly from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any high-cloud intrusions, leaving room for the observed market clustering around 16–18°C outcomes. New runs from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF will refine these details ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日馬德裏最低氣溫？
8月25日馬德裏最低氣溫？
18°C 33%
17°C 32%
16°C 23%
19°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
15°C or below
10%
16°C
23%
17°C
32%
18°C
33%
19°C
10%
20°C
8%
21°C
7%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
2%
18°C 33%
17°C 32%
16°C 23%
19°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
15°C or below
$0 交易量
10%
16°C
$0 交易量
23%
17°C
$0 交易量
32%
18°C
$0 交易量
33%
19°C
$0 交易量
10%
20°C
$0 交易量
8%
21°C
$20 交易量
7%
22°C
$15 交易量
1%
23°C
$205 交易量
<1%
24°C
$438 交易量
<1%
25°C or higher
$30 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 17–18°C for Madrid on August 25, driven by overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–5 m/s, and moderate humidity levels near 70–85% during the pre-dawn hours. These conditions favor typical late-summer minimums near the seasonal average of 18–19°C, with limited cloud cover reducing insulation and preventing significant warm advection. Model spreads arise mainly from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any high-cloud intrusions, leaving room for the observed market clustering around 16–18°C outcomes. New runs from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$708結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 17–18°C for Madrid on August 25, driven by overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–5 m/s, and moderate humidity levels near 70–85% during the pre-dawn hours. These conditions favor typical late-summer minimums near the seasonal average of 18–19°C, with limited cloud cover reducing insulation and preventing significant warm advection. Model spreads arise mainly from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any high-cloud intrusions, leaving room for the observed market clustering around 16–18°C outcomes. New runs from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$708結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 17–18°C for Madrid on August 25, driven by overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–5 m/s, and moderate humidity levels near 70–85% during the pre-dawn hours. These conditions favor typical late-summer minimums near the seasonal average of 18–19°C, with limited cloud cover reducing insulation and preventing significant warm advection. Model spreads arise mainly from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any high-cloud intrusions, leaving room for the observed market clustering around 16–18°C outcomes. New runs from agencies such as AEMET and ECMWF will refine these details ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions