Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C as the highest temperature at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station with 100% implied probability, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)'s latest hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 21°C under clear skies and low 26% humidity that maximizes solar heating. Current observations as of mid-afternoon register 20.8°C with light 4 km/h winds, aligning precisely with model projections and historical late-April patterns where daily maxima typically occur between 12:00–15:00 before evening cooling to 13°C. This positioning reflects high-confidence observational data over the past 24 hours, with climatological norms averaging 17–20°C. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision, both improbable given the cooling trajectory and stable high-pressure conditions; final Wunderground station data will confirm resolution by day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on April 30?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 30?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$53,676 交易量
$53,676 交易量
2026-04-30
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$53,676 交易量
$53,676 交易量
2026-04-30
15°C or below
$5,188 交易量
No
16°C
$504 交易量
No
17°C
$1,630 交易量
No
18°C
$5,214 交易量
No
19°C
$8,951 交易量
No
20°C
$7,201 交易量
No
21°C
$11,022 交易量
Yes
22°C
$7,223 交易量
No
23°C
$3,897 交易量
No
24°C
$1,891 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$956 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C as the highest temperature at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station with 100% implied probability, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)'s latest hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 21°C under clear skies and low 26% humidity that maximizes solar heating. Current observations as of mid-afternoon register 20.8°C with light 4 km/h winds, aligning precisely with model projections and historical late-April patterns where daily maxima typically occur between 12:00–15:00 before evening cooling to 13°C. This positioning reflects high-confidence observational data over the past 24 hours, with climatological norms averaging 17–20°C. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision, both improbable given the cooling trajectory and stable high-pressure conditions; final Wunderground station data will confirm resolution by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
交易量
$53,676结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C as the highest temperature at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station with 100% implied probability, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)'s latest hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 21°C under clear skies and low 26% humidity that maximizes solar heating. Current observations as of mid-afternoon register 20.8°C with light 4 km/h winds, aligning precisely with model projections and historical late-April patterns where daily maxima typically occur between 12:00–15:00 before evening cooling to 13°C. This positioning reflects high-confidence observational data over the past 24 hours, with climatological norms averaging 17–20°C. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision, both improbable given the cooling trajectory and stable high-pressure conditions; final Wunderground station data will confirm resolution by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$53,676结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C as the highest temperature at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station with 100% implied probability, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)'s latest hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 21°C under clear skies and low 26% humidity that maximizes solar heating. Current observations as of mid-afternoon register 20.8°C with light 4 km/h winds, aligning precisely with model projections and historical late-April patterns where daily maxima typically occur between 12:00–15:00 before evening cooling to 13°C. This positioning reflects high-confidence observational data over the past 24 hours, with climatological norms averaging 17–20°C. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision, both improbable given the cooling trajectory and stable high-pressure conditions; final Wunderground station data will confirm resolution by day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题