Latest ECMWF and GFS model consensus points to a 35–36°C peak in Milan on June 21 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with June climatology of 26–28°C averages but are amplified by the current anticyclone, pushing afternoon maxima into the mid-30s. The market’s tight clustering around 34–36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact model guidance, with small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture able to alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Official NHC-style verification will use Milan Linate or similar station data, and final model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for any odds movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月21日米兰的最高温度？
6月21日米兰的最高温度？
34°C 100.0%
33°C或以下 <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$58,145 交易量
$58,145 交易量
2026-06-21
33°C或以下
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
否
41°C
否
42°C
否
43°C或更高
否
34°C 100.0%
33°C或以下 <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$58,145 交易量
$58,145 交易量
2026-06-21
33°C或以下
$15,309 交易量
否
34°C
$11,700 交易量
是
35°C
$8,940 交易量
否
36°C
$8,741 交易量
否
37°C
$5,158 交易量
否
38°C
$4,115 交易量
否
39°C
$2,659 交易量
否
40°C
$477 交易量
否
41°C
$350 交易量
否
42°C
$355 交易量
否
43°C或更高
$340 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS model consensus points to a 35–36°C peak in Milan on June 21 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with June climatology of 26–28°C averages but are amplified by the current anticyclone, pushing afternoon maxima into the mid-30s. The market’s tight clustering around 34–36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact model guidance, with small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture able to alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Official NHC-style verification will use Milan Linate or similar station data, and final model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for any odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$58,145结束日期
2026-06-21市场开放时间
Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS model consensus points to a 35–36°C peak in Milan on June 21 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with June climatology of 26–28°C averages but are amplified by the current anticyclone, pushing afternoon maxima into the mid-30s. The market’s tight clustering around 34–36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact model guidance, with small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture able to alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Official NHC-style verification will use Milan Linate or similar station data, and final model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for any odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$58,145结束日期
2026-06-21市场开放时间
Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Latest ECMWF and GFS model consensus points to a 35–36°C peak in Milan on June 21 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with June climatology of 26–28°C averages but are amplified by the current anticyclone, pushing afternoon maxima into the mid-30s. The market’s tight clustering around 34–36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact model guidance, with small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture able to alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Official NHC-style verification will use Milan Linate or similar station data, and final model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for any odds movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题