Current numerical weather model consensus for Shenzhen on June 23 points to a daytime high near 32 °C, driven by the East Asian monsoon’s warm, moist southwesterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent regional heavy rainfall and elevated sea-surface temperatures have increased atmospheric humidity and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C through reduced insolation or brief showers, while clearer intervals or stronger solar heating could push values toward 33–34 °C. Historical June climatology shows averages of 31–32 °C, but early-season heat anomalies and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the closely bunched market-implied odds between 31 °C and 33 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 23?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$85,102 交易量
$85,102 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$85,102 交易量
$85,102 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 21, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current numerical weather model consensus for Shenzhen on June 23 points to a daytime high near 32 °C, driven by the East Asian monsoon’s warm, moist southwesterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent regional heavy rainfall and elevated sea-surface temperatures have increased atmospheric humidity and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C through reduced insolation or brief showers, while clearer intervals or stronger solar heating could push values toward 33–34 °C. Historical June climatology shows averages of 31–32 °C, but early-season heat anomalies and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the closely bunched market-implied odds between 31 °C and 33 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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