Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 31°C in Guangzhou today, with 95.8% implied probability, reflecting strong alignment in forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international models like those from AccuWeather and the UK Met Office. Recent 24-hour updates show a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, enabling peak solar heating around midday to afternoon hours, consistent with yesterday's near-31°C readings and April climatological norms slightly above 27°C averages. Numerical weather prediction ensembles exhibit minimal spread, projecting max surface temperatures at official Baiyun station between 30-32°C under low humidity and light winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping the peak below 31°C or prolonged sunshine pushing it to 32°C; real-time hourly observations and late-day CMA bulletins will refine this as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
31°C 98.0%
32°C 2.0%
33°C <1%
37°C <1%
NUEVO
$18,034 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,034 Vol.
16 abr 2026
30°C
<1%
31°C
98%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 98.0%
32°C 2.0%
33°C <1%
37°C <1%
NUEVO
$18,034 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,034 Vol.
16 abr 2026
30°C
$2,433 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,330 Vol.
98%
32°C
$1,935 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,055 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,176 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,402 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,111 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,131 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$519 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$863 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 31°C in Guangzhou today, with 95.8% implied probability, reflecting strong alignment in forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international models like those from AccuWeather and the UK Met Office. Recent 24-hour updates show a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, enabling peak solar heating around midday to afternoon hours, consistent with yesterday's near-31°C readings and April climatological norms slightly above 27°C averages. Numerical weather prediction ensembles exhibit minimal spread, projecting max surface temperatures at official Baiyun station between 30-32°C under low humidity and light winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping the peak below 31°C or prolonged sunshine pushing it to 32°C; real-time hourly observations and late-day CMA bulletins will refine this as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volumen
$18,034Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 31°C in Guangzhou today, with 95.8% implied probability, reflecting strong alignment in forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international models like those from AccuWeather and the UK Met Office. Recent 24-hour updates show a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, enabling peak solar heating around midday to afternoon hours, consistent with yesterday's near-31°C readings and April climatological norms slightly above 27°C averages. Numerical weather prediction ensembles exhibit minimal spread, projecting max surface temperatures at official Baiyun station between 30-32°C under low humidity and light winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping the peak below 31°C or prolonged sunshine pushing it to 32°C; real-time hourly observations and late-day CMA bulletins will refine this as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$18,034Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 31°C in Guangzhou today, with 95.8% implied probability, reflecting strong alignment in forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international models like those from AccuWeather and the UK Met Office. Recent 24-hour updates show a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, enabling peak solar heating around midday to afternoon hours, consistent with yesterday's near-31°C readings and April climatological norms slightly above 27°C averages. Numerical weather prediction ensembles exhibit minimal spread, projecting max surface temperatures at official Baiyun station between 30-32°C under low humidity and light winds. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping the peak below 31°C or prolonged sunshine pushing it to 32°C; real-time hourly observations and late-day CMA bulletins will refine this as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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