Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities clustered around 26–29°C due to divergent projections from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at 28°C maximum under mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly breezes, versus international sources like AccuWeather (29°C) and Weather.com (27°C) amid 60% PM thunderstorm risk. Yesterday's April 15 high of 29°C under cloudy skies gives way to a moderating southerly airstream increasing cloud cover and humidity (80–85%), potentially capping peaks via reduced solar insolation, though urban heat island effects and variable shower timing introduce ±2°C swings. Key differentiator: afternoon cloud thickness and precipitation onset, with official Baiyun station observations resolving the market; monitor CMA hourly updates today for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
29°C 23%
27°C 22%
28°C 20%
26°C or below 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
26°C or below
18%
27°C
22%
28°C
20%
29°C
23%
30°C
10%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 23%
27°C 22%
28°C 20%
26°C or below 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
26°C or below
$418 Vol.
18%
27°C
$171 Vol.
22%
28°C
$202 Vol.
20%
29°C
$176 Vol.
23%
30°C
$314 Vol.
10%
31°C
$376 Vol.
10%
32°C
$796 Vol.
2%
33°C
$584 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,917 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,650 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,330 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities clustered around 26–29°C due to divergent projections from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at 28°C maximum under mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly breezes, versus international sources like AccuWeather (29°C) and Weather.com (27°C) amid 60% PM thunderstorm risk. Yesterday's April 15 high of 29°C under cloudy skies gives way to a moderating southerly airstream increasing cloud cover and humidity (80–85%), potentially capping peaks via reduced solar insolation, though urban heat island effects and variable shower timing introduce ±2°C swings. Key differentiator: afternoon cloud thickness and precipitation onset, with official Baiyun station observations resolving the market; monitor CMA hourly updates today for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$7,833Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities clustered around 26–29°C due to divergent projections from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at 28°C maximum under mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly breezes, versus international sources like AccuWeather (29°C) and Weather.com (27°C) amid 60% PM thunderstorm risk. Yesterday's April 15 high of 29°C under cloudy skies gives way to a moderating southerly airstream increasing cloud cover and humidity (80–85%), potentially capping peaks via reduced solar insolation, though urban heat island effects and variable shower timing introduce ±2°C swings. Key differentiator: afternoon cloud thickness and precipitation onset, with official Baiyun station observations resolving the market; monitor CMA hourly updates today for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,833Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities clustered around 26–29°C due to divergent projections from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at 28°C maximum under mostly cloudy conditions and light southerly breezes, versus international sources like AccuWeather (29°C) and Weather.com (27°C) amid 60% PM thunderstorm risk. Yesterday's April 15 high of 29°C under cloudy skies gives way to a moderating southerly airstream increasing cloud cover and humidity (80–85%), potentially capping peaks via reduced solar insolation, though urban heat island effects and variable shower timing introduce ±2°C swings. Key differentiator: afternoon cloud thickness and precipitation onset, with official Baiyun station observations resolving the market; monitor CMA hourly updates today for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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