Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (38.5%) and 12°C (33.5%) for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a cool northerly airflow. Latest ECMWF and GFS runs project airport highs near 12-13°C at the NOAA-monitored Istanbul Airport station (LTBA/LTFJ), suppressed by sustained NNE winds at 10-20 mph and extensive cloud cover limiting insolation, as observed in today's mostly cloudy conditions with morning temperatures around 10°C. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts city-center highs up to 16°C under partly cloudy skies, but traders favor cooler airport readings due to coastal exposure and historical April biases toward 1-2°C lower maxima. Ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to afternoon clearing or wind shifts; watch 12Z model updates and hourly METARs for potential swings before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
13°C 39%
12°C 34%
14°C 20%
11°C 5%
NUEVO
$12,472 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,472 Vol.
17 abr 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
34%
13°C
39%
14°C
20%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 39%
12°C 34%
14°C 20%
11°C 5%
NUEVO
$12,472 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,472 Vol.
17 abr 2026
8°C or below
$1,175 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,441 Vol.
1%
10°C
$2,101 Vol.
1%
11°C
$2,441 Vol.
5%
12°C
$381 Vol.
34%
13°C
$443 Vol.
39%
14°C
$310 Vol.
20%
15°C
$1,043 Vol.
3%
16°C
$866 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,057 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (38.5%) and 12°C (33.5%) for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a cool northerly airflow. Latest ECMWF and GFS runs project airport highs near 12-13°C at the NOAA-monitored Istanbul Airport station (LTBA/LTFJ), suppressed by sustained NNE winds at 10-20 mph and extensive cloud cover limiting insolation, as observed in today's mostly cloudy conditions with morning temperatures around 10°C. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts city-center highs up to 16°C under partly cloudy skies, but traders favor cooler airport readings due to coastal exposure and historical April biases toward 1-2°C lower maxima. Ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to afternoon clearing or wind shifts; watch 12Z model updates and hourly METARs for potential swings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volumen
$12,472Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (38.5%) and 12°C (33.5%) for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a cool northerly airflow. Latest ECMWF and GFS runs project airport highs near 12-13°C at the NOAA-monitored Istanbul Airport station (LTBA/LTFJ), suppressed by sustained NNE winds at 10-20 mph and extensive cloud cover limiting insolation, as observed in today's mostly cloudy conditions with morning temperatures around 10°C. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts city-center highs up to 16°C under partly cloudy skies, but traders favor cooler airport readings due to coastal exposure and historical April biases toward 1-2°C lower maxima. Ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to afternoon clearing or wind shifts; watch 12Z model updates and hourly METARs for potential swings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,472Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (38.5%) and 12°C (33.5%) for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a cool northerly airflow. Latest ECMWF and GFS runs project airport highs near 12-13°C at the NOAA-monitored Istanbul Airport station (LTBA/LTFJ), suppressed by sustained NNE winds at 10-20 mph and extensive cloud cover limiting insolation, as observed in today's mostly cloudy conditions with morning temperatures around 10°C. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts city-center highs up to 16°C under partly cloudy skies, but traders favor cooler airport readings due to coastal exposure and historical April biases toward 1-2°C lower maxima. Ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to afternoon clearing or wind shifts; watch 12Z model updates and hourly METARs for potential swings before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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