Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly at 29-30°C, fueling trader sentiment with 41% implied probability on 30°C versus 33.5% on 29°C amid minimal spread. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure promoting abundant sunshine and radiative heating, augmented by Shenzhen's urban heat island effect, though moderating sea breezes from the South China Sea and potential afternoon cumulus clouds introduce 1°C uncertainty in peak boundary-layer temperatures. April climatology averages 26-27°C highs with ±2°C daily variability; official Shenzhen Observatory data—emphasized in recent guidance—will resolve the market, with final updates expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
30°C 41%
29°C 32%
28°C 8%
31°C 7.5%
NUEVO
$23,766 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,766 Vol.
17 abr 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
32%
30°C
41%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
2%
30°C 41%
29°C 32%
28°C 8%
31°C 7.5%
NUEVO
$23,766 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,766 Vol.
17 abr 2026
22°C or below
$1,331 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,359 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,630 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,831 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,619 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,881 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,637 Vol.
8%
29°C
$666 Vol.
32%
30°C
$1,472 Vol.
41%
31°C
$2,548 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$1,811 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly at 29-30°C, fueling trader sentiment with 41% implied probability on 30°C versus 33.5% on 29°C amid minimal spread. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure promoting abundant sunshine and radiative heating, augmented by Shenzhen's urban heat island effect, though moderating sea breezes from the South China Sea and potential afternoon cumulus clouds introduce 1°C uncertainty in peak boundary-layer temperatures. April climatology averages 26-27°C highs with ±2°C daily variability; official Shenzhen Observatory data—emphasized in recent guidance—will resolve the market, with final updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volumen
$23,766Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly at 29-30°C, fueling trader sentiment with 41% implied probability on 30°C versus 33.5% on 29°C amid minimal spread. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure promoting abundant sunshine and radiative heating, augmented by Shenzhen's urban heat island effect, though moderating sea breezes from the South China Sea and potential afternoon cumulus clouds introduce 1°C uncertainty in peak boundary-layer temperatures. April climatology averages 26-27°C highs with ±2°C daily variability; official Shenzhen Observatory data—emphasized in recent guidance—will resolve the market, with final updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,766Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly at 29-30°C, fueling trader sentiment with 41% implied probability on 30°C versus 33.5% on 29°C amid minimal spread. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure promoting abundant sunshine and radiative heating, augmented by Shenzhen's urban heat island effect, though moderating sea breezes from the South China Sea and potential afternoon cumulus clouds introduce 1°C uncertainty in peak boundary-layer temperatures. April climatology averages 26-27°C highs with ±2°C daily variability; official Shenzhen Observatory data—emphasized in recent guidance—will resolve the market, with final updates expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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