Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43.5% implied probability for 35°C or higher in Tel Aviv on April 17, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest guidance signaling continued unseasonably hot conditions under a high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and dropping humidity for enhanced daytime heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles from the past 24 hours have trended hotter—projecting peaks of 33-36°C—following April 16's near-32°C high amid extreme heat warnings, with light winds limiting coastal sea breeze moderation. Outcomes around 32-34°C (totaling ~57%) reflect uncertainty from potential isolated thunderstorms or increased cloud cover in some runs, per timeanddate.com and Weather Underground forecasts near 30-32°C; watch IMS updates today for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
35°C or higher 45%
34°C 26%
33°C 17%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
$15,263 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,263 Vol.
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
17%
34°C
26%
35°C or higher
45%
35°C or higher 45%
34°C 26%
33°C 17%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
$15,263 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,263 Vol.
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
$1,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,543 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,087 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,489 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,111 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,477 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,146 Vol.
11%
33°C
$1,135 Vol.
17%
34°C
$1,311 Vol.
26%
35°C or higher
$2,729 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43.5% implied probability for 35°C or higher in Tel Aviv on April 17, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest guidance signaling continued unseasonably hot conditions under a high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and dropping humidity for enhanced daytime heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles from the past 24 hours have trended hotter—projecting peaks of 33-36°C—following April 16's near-32°C high amid extreme heat warnings, with light winds limiting coastal sea breeze moderation. Outcomes around 32-34°C (totaling ~57%) reflect uncertainty from potential isolated thunderstorms or increased cloud cover in some runs, per timeanddate.com and Weather Underground forecasts near 30-32°C; watch IMS updates today for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$15,263Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43.5% implied probability for 35°C or higher in Tel Aviv on April 17, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest guidance signaling continued unseasonably hot conditions under a high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and dropping humidity for enhanced daytime heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles from the past 24 hours have trended hotter—projecting peaks of 33-36°C—following April 16's near-32°C high amid extreme heat warnings, with light winds limiting coastal sea breeze moderation. Outcomes around 32-34°C (totaling ~57%) reflect uncertainty from potential isolated thunderstorms or increased cloud cover in some runs, per timeanddate.com and Weather Underground forecasts near 30-32°C; watch IMS updates today for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,263Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43.5% implied probability for 35°C or higher in Tel Aviv on April 17, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest guidance signaling continued unseasonably hot conditions under a high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and dropping humidity for enhanced daytime heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles from the past 24 hours have trended hotter—projecting peaks of 33-36°C—following April 16's near-32°C high amid extreme heat warnings, with light winds limiting coastal sea breeze moderation. Outcomes around 32-34°C (totaling ~57%) reflect uncertainty from potential isolated thunderstorms or increased cloud cover in some runs, per timeanddate.com and Weather Underground forecasts near 30-32°C; watch IMS updates today for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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