Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 34% implied probability for a 33°C high in Panama City, Panama, on April 17, aligning with ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting peaks of 91–93°F (33–34°C) amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central America that limits cloud cover and convection. This follows a week of consistent mid-30s Celsius highs with minimal precipitation, typical for the late dry season's solar heating enhanced by light winds and high humidity. Key variables include afternoon sea-breeze development, which could temper peaks to 32°C via coastal cooling, or unexpected clear skies pushing toward 34–35°C; isolated thunderstorms—marking the rainy season onset—pose downside risk below 32°C. Official measurements from Marcos A. Gelabert Airport will resolve the market, with final model updates expected today from NOAA and regional services highlighting 1–2°C forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 17?
33°C 35%
32°C 27%
34°C 19%
35°C 12%
NEW
$10,301 Vol.
NEW
$10,301 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
27%
33°C
35%
34°C
19%
35°C
12%
36°C
7%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 27%
34°C 19%
35°C 12%
NEW
$10,301 Vol.
NEW
$10,301 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
28°C or below
$1,293 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,414 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,095 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,323 Vol.
5%
32°C
$412 Vol.
27%
33°C
$507 Vol.
35%
34°C
$378 Vol.
19%
35°C
$611 Vol.
12%
36°C
$354 Vol.
7%
37°C
$921 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$992 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 34% implied probability for a 33°C high in Panama City, Panama, on April 17, aligning with ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting peaks of 91–93°F (33–34°C) amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central America that limits cloud cover and convection. This follows a week of consistent mid-30s Celsius highs with minimal precipitation, typical for the late dry season's solar heating enhanced by light winds and high humidity. Key variables include afternoon sea-breeze development, which could temper peaks to 32°C via coastal cooling, or unexpected clear skies pushing toward 34–35°C; isolated thunderstorms—marking the rainy season onset—pose downside risk below 32°C. Official measurements from Marcos A. Gelabert Airport will resolve the market, with final model updates expected today from NOAA and regional services highlighting 1–2°C forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volume
$10,301End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 34% implied probability for a 33°C high in Panama City, Panama, on April 17, aligning with ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting peaks of 91–93°F (33–34°C) amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central America that limits cloud cover and convection. This follows a week of consistent mid-30s Celsius highs with minimal precipitation, typical for the late dry season's solar heating enhanced by light winds and high humidity. Key variables include afternoon sea-breeze development, which could temper peaks to 32°C via coastal cooling, or unexpected clear skies pushing toward 34–35°C; isolated thunderstorms—marking the rainy season onset—pose downside risk below 32°C. Official measurements from Marcos A. Gelabert Airport will resolve the market, with final model updates expected today from NOAA and regional services highlighting 1–2°C forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,301End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 34% implied probability for a 33°C high in Panama City, Panama, on April 17, aligning with ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting peaks of 91–93°F (33–34°C) amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central America that limits cloud cover and convection. This follows a week of consistent mid-30s Celsius highs with minimal precipitation, typical for the late dry season's solar heating enhanced by light winds and high humidity. Key variables include afternoon sea-breeze development, which could temper peaks to 32°C via coastal cooling, or unexpected clear skies pushing toward 34–35°C; isolated thunderstorms—marking the rainy season onset—pose downside risk below 32°C. Official measurements from Marcos A. Gelabert Airport will resolve the market, with final model updates expected today from NOAA and regional services highlighting 1–2°C forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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