President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair in early March 2026 to succeed Jerome Powell, whose term expires May 15, 2026. The process advanced this week after Warsh submitted financial disclosures revealing assets exceeding $130 million and committed to divesting holdings within 90 days of confirmation, clearing a key hurdle for the Senate Banking Committee. A confirmation hearing is now scheduled for next week, led by figures like Sen. Tim Scott, amid earlier delays and some Republican opposition. Traders eye committee approval, full Senate vote—requiring simple majority—and potential holds, with historical patterns showing most nominees confirmed if partisan support holds. Powell has pledged to remain until a successor is sworn in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$570,855 Vol.
May 15, 2026
May 1
3%
May 15
42%
$570,855 Vol.
May 1
$373,061 Vol.
3%
May 15
$197,794 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair in early March 2026 to succeed Jerome Powell, whose term expires May 15, 2026. The process advanced this week after Warsh submitted financial disclosures revealing assets exceeding $130 million and committed to divesting holdings within 90 days of confirmation, clearing a key hurdle for the Senate Banking Committee. A confirmation hearing is now scheduled for next week, led by figures like Sen. Tim Scott, amid earlier delays and some Republican opposition. Traders eye committee approval, full Senate vote—requiring simple majority—and potential holds, with historical patterns showing most nominees confirmed if partisan support holds. Powell has pledged to remain until a successor is sworn in.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Volume
$570,855End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair in early March 2026 to succeed Jerome Powell, whose term expires May 15, 2026. The process advanced this week after Warsh submitted financial disclosures revealing assets exceeding $130 million and committed to divesting holdings within 90 days of confirmation, clearing a key hurdle for the Senate Banking Committee. A confirmation hearing is now scheduled for next week, led by figures like Sen. Tim Scott, amid earlier delays and some Republican opposition. Traders eye committee approval, full Senate vote—requiring simple majority—and potential holds, with historical patterns showing most nominees confirmed if partisan support holds. Powell has pledged to remain until a successor is sworn in.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$570,855End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair in early March 2026 to succeed Jerome Powell, whose term expires May 15, 2026. The process advanced this week after Warsh submitted financial disclosures revealing assets exceeding $130 million and committed to divesting holdings within 90 days of confirmation, clearing a key hurdle for the Senate Banking Committee. A confirmation hearing is now scheduled for next week, led by figures like Sen. Tim Scott, amid earlier delays and some Republican opposition. Traders eye committee approval, full Senate vote—requiring simple majority—and potential holds, with historical patterns showing most nominees confirmed if partisan support holds. Powell has pledged to remain until a successor is sworn in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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