Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF around 24–26°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, driven by lingering warmth from an anomalously hot April—monthly means 4.6°C above the 18.5°C norm—following recent cooling after peaks near 25°C on April 14. Latest guidance from SMN Argentina and sites like Meteoblue and Weather.com projects partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly winds (10–15 km/h), limiting peak heating but allowing urban effects and afternoon insolation to push highs into the mid-20s Celsius. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover breaks and northerly wind shifts, with 23°C viable if overcast persists; official Aeroparque measurements will resolve amid typical 1–2°C short-term uncertainty, with final SMN updates expected today.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
24°C 26%
25°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 16%
$12,983 Vol.
$12,983 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
16%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 26%
25°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 16%
$12,983 Vol.
$12,983 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
16%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF around 24–26°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, driven by lingering warmth from an anomalously hot April—monthly means 4.6°C above the 18.5°C norm—following recent cooling after peaks near 25°C on April 14. Latest guidance from SMN Argentina and sites like Meteoblue and Weather.com projects partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly winds (10–15 km/h), limiting peak heating but allowing urban effects and afternoon insolation to push highs into the mid-20s Celsius. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover breaks and northerly wind shifts, with 23°C viable if overcast persists; official Aeroparque measurements will resolve amid typical 1–2°C short-term uncertainty, with final SMN updates expected today.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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