Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 3 reaching 17°C or higher, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 15-17°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Current observations from AccuWeather show midday readings around 14°C (57°F) with passing showers, but model consensus anticipates sufficient insolation for peaks near 17°C, aligning with April climatological norms of 15-16°C averages at Istanbul Airport (IST), the likely resolution station per NOAA data. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) updates reinforce this, noting mild conditions. Realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing radiative heating or an unforeseen cool air intrusion, though low-probability given steering patterns; final MGM evening reports will confirm.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 3?
$40,612 Vol.
$40,612 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
100%
$40,612 Vol.
$40,612 Vol.
3 avr. 2026
16°C
$4,353 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$5,555 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 3 reaching 17°C or higher, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 15-17°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Current observations from AccuWeather show midday readings around 14°C (57°F) with passing showers, but model consensus anticipates sufficient insolation for peaks near 17°C, aligning with April climatological norms of 15-16°C averages at Istanbul Airport (IST), the likely resolution station per NOAA data. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) updates reinforce this, noting mild conditions. Realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing radiative heating or an unforeseen cool air intrusion, though low-probability given steering patterns; final MGM evening reports will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volume
$40,612Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 3 reaching 17°C or higher, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 15-17°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Current observations from AccuWeather show midday readings around 14°C (57°F) with passing showers, but model consensus anticipates sufficient insolation for peaks near 17°C, aligning with April climatological norms of 15-16°C averages at Istanbul Airport (IST), the likely resolution station per NOAA data. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) updates reinforce this, noting mild conditions. Realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing radiative heating or an unforeseen cool air intrusion, though low-probability given steering patterns; final MGM evening reports will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$40,612Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 3 reaching 17°C or higher, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 15-17°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Current observations from AccuWeather show midday readings around 14°C (57°F) with passing showers, but model consensus anticipates sufficient insolation for peaks near 17°C, aligning with April climatological norms of 15-16°C averages at Istanbul Airport (IST), the likely resolution station per NOAA data. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) updates reinforce this, noting mild conditions. Realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing radiative heating or an unforeseen cool air intrusion, though low-probability given steering patterns; final MGM evening reports will confirm.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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