The India Meteorological Department’s latest bulletin, dated April 15, forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C in Lucknow on April 17 under clear skies with light winds, driving the 25% implied probability for that outcome amid a building pre-monsoon heatwave. However, trader sentiment favors slightly higher peaks at 40°C (32.5%) and 41°C (31.0%), reflecting recent observations of 41°C earlier this week, low soil moisture reducing evaporative cooling, and persistent high-pressure subsidence promoting intense solar heating. Ensemble model runs like GFS show minor divergence around 39–41°C due to uncertainties in peak afternoon insolation and urban heat effects at the airport station. A new IMD update expected today could sharpen resolution as dry conditions persist.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 17?
41°C 33%
40°C 32%
39°C 24%
42°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
37°C or below
2%
38°C
6%
39°C
24%
40°C
32%
41°C
33%
42°C
11%
43°C
2%
44°C
1%
45°C
1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
41°C 33%
40°C 32%
39°C 24%
42°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
37°C or below
$436 Vol.
2%
38°C
$232 Vol.
6%
39°C
$327 Vol.
24%
40°C
$170 Vol.
32%
41°C
$221 Vol.
33%
42°C
$1,008 Vol.
11%
43°C
$696 Vol.
2%
44°C
$589 Vol.
1%
45°C
$768 Vol.
1%
46°C
$761 Vol.
<1%
47°C or higher
$1,074 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department’s latest bulletin, dated April 15, forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C in Lucknow on April 17 under clear skies with light winds, driving the 25% implied probability for that outcome amid a building pre-monsoon heatwave. However, trader sentiment favors slightly higher peaks at 40°C (32.5%) and 41°C (31.0%), reflecting recent observations of 41°C earlier this week, low soil moisture reducing evaporative cooling, and persistent high-pressure subsidence promoting intense solar heating. Ensemble model runs like GFS show minor divergence around 39–41°C due to uncertainties in peak afternoon insolation and urban heat effects at the airport station. A new IMD update expected today could sharpen resolution as dry conditions persist.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$6,281Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department’s latest bulletin, dated April 15, forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C in Lucknow on April 17 under clear skies with light winds, driving the 25% implied probability for that outcome amid a building pre-monsoon heatwave. However, trader sentiment favors slightly higher peaks at 40°C (32.5%) and 41°C (31.0%), reflecting recent observations of 41°C earlier this week, low soil moisture reducing evaporative cooling, and persistent high-pressure subsidence promoting intense solar heating. Ensemble model runs like GFS show minor divergence around 39–41°C due to uncertainties in peak afternoon insolation and urban heat effects at the airport station. A new IMD update expected today could sharpen resolution as dry conditions persist.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,281Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The India Meteorological Department’s latest bulletin, dated April 15, forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C in Lucknow on April 17 under clear skies with light winds, driving the 25% implied probability for that outcome amid a building pre-monsoon heatwave. However, trader sentiment favors slightly higher peaks at 40°C (32.5%) and 41°C (31.0%), reflecting recent observations of 41°C earlier this week, low soil moisture reducing evaporative cooling, and persistent high-pressure subsidence promoting intense solar heating. Ensemble model runs like GFS show minor divergence around 39–41°C due to uncertainties in peak afternoon insolation and urban heat effects at the airport station. A new IMD update expected today could sharpen resolution as dry conditions persist.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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