Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest forecast projects Ankara's April 15 high at 20°C under partly cloudy skies, fueling trader consensus with 20°C at 43.5% implied probability edging 19°C at 36.5%, amid close competition reflecting short-range uncertainty. Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs cluster peaks at 19-21°C, boosted by a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering above-climatological spring warmth—historical mid-April averages hover around 17°C—following mild early-month conditions with limited precipitation. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud variability potentially capping at 19°C versus sustained sunshine enabling 20°C; winds and urban heat island effects at Esenboğa station add nuance, with real-time observations through evening set to sharpen resolution as models converge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on April 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 15?
20°C 44%
19°C 37%
18°C 16%
21°C 6.1%
$41,847 Vol.
$41,847 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
16%
19°C
37%
20°C
44%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
20°C 44%
19°C 37%
18°C 16%
21°C 6.1%
$41,847 Vol.
$41,847 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
16%
19°C
37%
20°C
44%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest forecast projects Ankara's April 15 high at 20°C under partly cloudy skies, fueling trader consensus with 20°C at 43.5% implied probability edging 19°C at 36.5%, amid close competition reflecting short-range uncertainty. Recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs cluster peaks at 19-21°C, boosted by a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering above-climatological spring warmth—historical mid-April averages hover around 17°C—following mild early-month conditions with limited precipitation. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud variability potentially capping at 19°C versus sustained sunshine enabling 20°C; winds and urban heat island effects at Esenboğa station add nuance, with real-time observations through evening set to sharpen resolution as models converge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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