Latest ECMWF, GFS, and ICON ensemble forecasts project Munich Airport's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly at 17-20°C, fueling trader sentiment with 33% implied probability for 18°C, 28.5% for 19°C, and 27.5% for 20°C amid a transitional weather pattern. Increasing southerly flow is advecting warmer air masses northward, displacing recent cooler conditions observed earlier in April, but model spread stems from uncertainties in midday cloud cover, solar insolation, and boundary-layer mixing that could push peaks higher or cap them lower. Above the late-April climatological average of ~15°C, this mild outlook reflects strengthening high-pressure influence; watch for Deutscher Wetterdienst short-range updates and hourly observations at the official resolution station for potential repricing before midday maximums.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on April 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 17?
18°C 34%
19°C 29%
20°C 28%
17°C 7.0%
$11,895 Vol.
$11,895 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
34%
19°C
29%
20°C
28%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 34%
19°C 29%
20°C 28%
17°C 7.0%
$11,895 Vol.
$11,895 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
34%
19°C
29%
20°C
28%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF, GFS, and ICON ensemble forecasts project Munich Airport's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly at 17-20°C, fueling trader sentiment with 33% implied probability for 18°C, 28.5% for 19°C, and 27.5% for 20°C amid a transitional weather pattern. Increasing southerly flow is advecting warmer air masses northward, displacing recent cooler conditions observed earlier in April, but model spread stems from uncertainties in midday cloud cover, solar insolation, and boundary-layer mixing that could push peaks higher or cap them lower. Above the late-April climatological average of ~15°C, this mild outlook reflects strengthening high-pressure influence; watch for Deutscher Wetterdienst short-range updates and hourly observations at the official resolution station for potential repricing before midday maximums.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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