Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 18-20°C under a building high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, fueling tight trader sentiment with 19°C (31.5% implied probability) edging out 20°C (27%) and 18°C (25%). Differentiating factors include model divergences on cloud cover thickness—scattered clouds in some runs boost midday solar insolation toward 20°C peaks, while persistent overcast caps it at 18°C amid light southerly winds limiting cold air advection. This reflects typical spring forecast uncertainty, with recent overnight updates showing a slight warming trend from prior 17°C projections. Watch DWD's final morning bulletin and airport observations for potential shifts before resolution at Munich Airport station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on April 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 17?
19°C 33%
18°C 28%
20°C 26%
21°C 5.6%
$22,978 Vol.
$22,978 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
28%
19°C
33%
20°C
26%
21°C
6%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 33%
18°C 28%
20°C 26%
21°C 5.6%
$22,978 Vol.
$22,978 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
28%
19°C
33%
20°C
26%
21°C
6%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 18-20°C under a building high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, fueling tight trader sentiment with 19°C (31.5% implied probability) edging out 20°C (27%) and 18°C (25%). Differentiating factors include model divergences on cloud cover thickness—scattered clouds in some runs boost midday solar insolation toward 20°C peaks, while persistent overcast caps it at 18°C amid light southerly winds limiting cold air advection. This reflects typical spring forecast uncertainty, with recent overnight updates showing a slight warming trend from prior 17°C projections. Watch DWD's final morning bulletin and airport observations for potential shifts before resolution at Munich Airport station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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