Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a high temperature clustering around 78-79°F on April 17, driving trader consensus with 35.5% implied probability on that outcome, as high-pressure ridging builds over the Northeast to deliver warm southerly flow and ample sunshine for peak diurnal heating. Over the past 24 hours, updated GFS and ECMWF model runs have converged on this warmer outlook—up slightly from prior ensembles—following observed above-normal temperatures through April 15 per recent NWS climate summaries, amid low wind shear and minimal cloud interference. Competing odds reflect uncertainty in boundary layer mixing, with 24.5% on 77°F or below if cooler marine air intrudes, and 23.5% on 80-81°F should heating exceed expectations. Watch the 00Z model refresh tonight for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à New York le 17 avril ?
Température la plus élevée à New York le 17 avril ?
78-79 °F 37%
77°F ou moins 26%
80-81 °F 24%
82-83 °F 14%
$25,786 Vol.
$25,786 Vol.
77°F ou moins
26%
78-79 °F
37%
80-81 °F
24%
82-83 °F
14%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89 °F
1%
90-91 °F
<1%
92-93 °F
<1%
94-95 °F
<1%
96°F ou plus
<1%
78-79 °F 37%
77°F ou moins 26%
80-81 °F 24%
82-83 °F 14%
$25,786 Vol.
$25,786 Vol.
77°F ou moins
26%
78-79 °F
37%
80-81 °F
24%
82-83 °F
14%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89 °F
1%
90-91 °F
<1%
92-93 °F
<1%
94-95 °F
<1%
96°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a high temperature clustering around 78-79°F on April 17, driving trader consensus with 35.5% implied probability on that outcome, as high-pressure ridging builds over the Northeast to deliver warm southerly flow and ample sunshine for peak diurnal heating. Over the past 24 hours, updated GFS and ECMWF model runs have converged on this warmer outlook—up slightly from prior ensembles—following observed above-normal temperatures through April 15 per recent NWS climate summaries, amid low wind shear and minimal cloud interference. Competing odds reflect uncertainty in boundary layer mixing, with 24.5% on 77°F or below if cooler marine air intrudes, and 23.5% on 80-81°F should heating exceed expectations. Watch the 00Z model refresh tonight for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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