National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 66°F in San Francisco on April 17 under partly cloudy conditions with west winds 10-15 mph, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly clustered 66-71°F outcomes as the market-implied consensus. This positioning stems from persistent marine layer stratus, fueled by cool onshore flow from the Pacific, capping temperatures via a low-level temperature inversion typical of springtime coastal meteorology—historical April averages hover around 63-66°F. Differentiating factors include the timing of marine layer burn-off: early clearing boosts insolation for 70-71°F peaks, while delayed dissipation amid gusty winds favors 66-67°F. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show modest spread in cloud cover, with afternoon updates and SFO observations likely to sharpen odds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
66-67°F 32%
68-69°F 27%
70-71°F 23%
64-65°F 17%
NOUVEAU
$11,194 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,194 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 32%
68-69°F 27%
70-71°F 23%
64-65°F 17%
NOUVEAU
$11,194 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,194 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
57°F or below
$883 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,977 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,852 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$727 Vol.
7%
64-65°F
$470 Vol.
17%
66-67°F
$382 Vol.
32%
68-69°F
$631 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$572 Vol.
23%
72-73°F
$637 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$868 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$1,196 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 66°F in San Francisco on April 17 under partly cloudy conditions with west winds 10-15 mph, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly clustered 66-71°F outcomes as the market-implied consensus. This positioning stems from persistent marine layer stratus, fueled by cool onshore flow from the Pacific, capping temperatures via a low-level temperature inversion typical of springtime coastal meteorology—historical April averages hover around 63-66°F. Differentiating factors include the timing of marine layer burn-off: early clearing boosts insolation for 70-71°F peaks, while delayed dissipation amid gusty winds favors 66-67°F. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show modest spread in cloud cover, with afternoon updates and SFO observations likely to sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volume
$11,194Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 66°F in San Francisco on April 17 under partly cloudy conditions with west winds 10-15 mph, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly clustered 66-71°F outcomes as the market-implied consensus. This positioning stems from persistent marine layer stratus, fueled by cool onshore flow from the Pacific, capping temperatures via a low-level temperature inversion typical of springtime coastal meteorology—historical April averages hover around 63-66°F. Differentiating factors include the timing of marine layer burn-off: early clearing boosts insolation for 70-71°F peaks, while delayed dissipation amid gusty winds favors 66-67°F. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show modest spread in cloud cover, with afternoon updates and SFO observations likely to sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,194Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 66°F in San Francisco on April 17 under partly cloudy conditions with west winds 10-15 mph, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly clustered 66-71°F outcomes as the market-implied consensus. This positioning stems from persistent marine layer stratus, fueled by cool onshore flow from the Pacific, capping temperatures via a low-level temperature inversion typical of springtime coastal meteorology—historical April averages hover around 63-66°F. Differentiating factors include the timing of marine layer burn-off: early clearing boosts insolation for 70-71°F peaks, while delayed dissipation amid gusty winds favors 66-67°F. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show modest spread in cloud cover, with afternoon updates and SFO observations likely to sharpen odds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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