The National Weather Service's latest forecast for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the likely resolution station—calls for a sunny high near 67°F on April 17, with persistent onshore winds of 10-15 mph fueling a morning marine layer that delays coastal warming. This aligns with closely matched market-implied odds favoring 66-71°F outcomes, reflecting GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus around mid-to-upper 60s amid typical April climatology (historical average high ~64°F). Key differentiators include marine stratus clearing time—potentially before noon PDT for peaks near 70°F versus prolonged low clouds capping at 66°F—and afternoon solar insolation moderated by cool Pacific air advection. Hourly observations will clarify as burn-off timing emerges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
66-67°F 32%
68-69°F 26%
70-71°F 24%
64-65°F 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 32%
68-69°F 26%
70-71°F 24%
64-65°F 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
57°F or below
$860 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,877 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,063 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$697 Vol.
8%
64-65°F
$460 Vol.
19%
66-67°F
$360 Vol.
27%
68-69°F
$555 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$473 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$627 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$758 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$1,186 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the likely resolution station—calls for a sunny high near 67°F on April 17, with persistent onshore winds of 10-15 mph fueling a morning marine layer that delays coastal warming. This aligns with closely matched market-implied odds favoring 66-71°F outcomes, reflecting GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus around mid-to-upper 60s amid typical April climatology (historical average high ~64°F). Key differentiators include marine stratus clearing time—potentially before noon PDT for peaks near 70°F versus prolonged low clouds capping at 66°F—and afternoon solar insolation moderated by cool Pacific air advection. Hourly observations will clarify as burn-off timing emerges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volume
$9,915Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the likely resolution station—calls for a sunny high near 67°F on April 17, with persistent onshore winds of 10-15 mph fueling a morning marine layer that delays coastal warming. This aligns with closely matched market-implied odds favoring 66-71°F outcomes, reflecting GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus around mid-to-upper 60s amid typical April climatology (historical average high ~64°F). Key differentiators include marine stratus clearing time—potentially before noon PDT for peaks near 70°F versus prolonged low clouds capping at 66°F—and afternoon solar insolation moderated by cool Pacific air advection. Hourly observations will clarify as burn-off timing emerges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,915Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the likely resolution station—calls for a sunny high near 67°F on April 17, with persistent onshore winds of 10-15 mph fueling a morning marine layer that delays coastal warming. This aligns with closely matched market-implied odds favoring 66-71°F outcomes, reflecting GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus around mid-to-upper 60s amid typical April climatology (historical average high ~64°F). Key differentiators include marine stratus clearing time—potentially before noon PDT for peaks near 70°F versus prolonged low clouds capping at 66°F—and afternoon solar insolation moderated by cool Pacific air advection. Hourly observations will clarify as burn-off timing emerges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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