Ensemble model forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS show Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly around 19-21°C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the narrow trader consensus with 20°C leading at 34.5% implied probability ahead of 21°C (27%) and 19°C (20%). This reflects springtime variability in East Asian monsoon influences, where southerly flow brings mild air but persistent cloud cover caps daytime heating near the 19°C April climatological average high. Key differentiators include model disagreements on overcast duration—thicker stratus layers favor 19°C, while brief clearings or stronger boundary layer mixing could push to 21-22°C—against low precipitation odds. Final CMA guidance and real-time observations expected midday will sharpen resolution near official Xujiahui station thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
20°C 35%
21°C 30%
19°C 15%
22°C 12.0%
NOUVEAU
$18,069 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$18,069 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
15%
20°C
35%
21°C
30%
22°C
12%
23°C or higher
7%
20°C 35%
21°C 30%
19°C 15%
22°C 12.0%
NOUVEAU
$18,069 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$18,069 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
13°C or below
$3,475 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,913 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,581 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,020 Vol.
1%
17°C
$971 Vol.
3%
18°C
$878 Vol.
4%
19°C
$514 Vol.
15%
20°C
$741 Vol.
35%
21°C
$655 Vol.
30%
22°C
$1,386 Vol.
12%
23°C or higher
$1,943 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble model forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS show Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly around 19-21°C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the narrow trader consensus with 20°C leading at 34.5% implied probability ahead of 21°C (27%) and 19°C (20%). This reflects springtime variability in East Asian monsoon influences, where southerly flow brings mild air but persistent cloud cover caps daytime heating near the 19°C April climatological average high. Key differentiators include model disagreements on overcast duration—thicker stratus layers favor 19°C, while brief clearings or stronger boundary layer mixing could push to 21-22°C—against low precipitation odds. Final CMA guidance and real-time observations expected midday will sharpen resolution near official Xujiahui station thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$18,069Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble model forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS show Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly around 19-21°C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the narrow trader consensus with 20°C leading at 34.5% implied probability ahead of 21°C (27%) and 19°C (20%). This reflects springtime variability in East Asian monsoon influences, where southerly flow brings mild air but persistent cloud cover caps daytime heating near the 19°C April climatological average high. Key differentiators include model disagreements on overcast duration—thicker stratus layers favor 19°C, while brief clearings or stronger boundary layer mixing could push to 21-22°C—against low precipitation odds. Final CMA guidance and real-time observations expected midday will sharpen resolution near official Xujiahui station thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,069Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble model forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS show Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 clustering tightly around 19-21°C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the narrow trader consensus with 20°C leading at 34.5% implied probability ahead of 21°C (27%) and 19°C (20%). This reflects springtime variability in East Asian monsoon influences, where southerly flow brings mild air but persistent cloud cover caps daytime heating near the 19°C April climatological average high. Key differentiators include model disagreements on overcast duration—thicker stratus layers favor 19°C, while brief clearings or stronger boundary layer mixing could push to 21-22°C—against low precipitation odds. Final CMA guidance and real-time observations expected midday will sharpen resolution near official Xujiahui station thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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