Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 near 20°C, anchoring trader sentiment with 20°C at 32% implied probability and tight clustering across 19–21°C outcomes. Yesterday's observed high of 19°C under persistent cloud cover sets the baseline, while upcoming partial clearing competes with overcast skies and 20–25% shower risk, as indicated by major guidance showing 68–72°F (20–22°C) peaks. Differentiating factors include light easterly winds (5 mph) and high humidity (80–90%), which curb daytime heating via reduced insolation; model spread reflects uncertainty in cloud thickness and shower timing. Mid-April climatology averages 19–20°C, with new runs overnight poised to sharpen consensus before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
20°C 34%
21°C 24%
19°C 21%
22°C 10.7%
NOUVEAU
$13,939 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,939 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
6%
19°C
21%
20°C
34%
21°C
24%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
8%
20°C 34%
21°C 24%
19°C 21%
22°C 10.7%
NOUVEAU
$13,939 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,939 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
13°C or below
$2,199 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,247 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,512 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,166 Vol.
1%
17°C
$831 Vol.
4%
18°C
$571 Vol.
6%
19°C
$379 Vol.
21%
20°C
$655 Vol.
34%
21°C
$564 Vol.
24%
22°C
$1,251 Vol.
11%
23°C or higher
$1,771 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 near 20°C, anchoring trader sentiment with 20°C at 32% implied probability and tight clustering across 19–21°C outcomes. Yesterday's observed high of 19°C under persistent cloud cover sets the baseline, while upcoming partial clearing competes with overcast skies and 20–25% shower risk, as indicated by major guidance showing 68–72°F (20–22°C) peaks. Differentiating factors include light easterly winds (5 mph) and high humidity (80–90%), which curb daytime heating via reduced insolation; model spread reflects uncertainty in cloud thickness and shower timing. Mid-April climatology averages 19–20°C, with new runs overnight poised to sharpen consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$13,939Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 near 20°C, anchoring trader sentiment with 20°C at 32% implied probability and tight clustering across 19–21°C outcomes. Yesterday's observed high of 19°C under persistent cloud cover sets the baseline, while upcoming partial clearing competes with overcast skies and 20–25% shower risk, as indicated by major guidance showing 68–72°F (20–22°C) peaks. Differentiating factors include light easterly winds (5 mph) and high humidity (80–90%), which curb daytime heating via reduced insolation; model spread reflects uncertainty in cloud thickness and shower timing. Mid-April climatology averages 19–20°C, with new runs overnight poised to sharpen consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,939Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 near 20°C, anchoring trader sentiment with 20°C at 32% implied probability and tight clustering across 19–21°C outcomes. Yesterday's observed high of 19°C under persistent cloud cover sets the baseline, while upcoming partial clearing competes with overcast skies and 20–25% shower risk, as indicated by major guidance showing 68–72°F (20–22°C) peaks. Differentiating factors include light easterly winds (5 mph) and high humidity (80–90%), which curb daytime heating via reduced insolation; model spread reflects uncertainty in cloud thickness and shower timing. Mid-April climatology averages 19–20°C, with new runs overnight poised to sharpen consensus before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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