Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 19–21°C for Toronto's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting the latest Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts showing daytime highs near 20°C under cloudy conditions with 40% shower chances. This positioning stems from a warm air mass advected from the southern U.S., boosting above-average potential (historical April 13 average ~12°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport), tempered by low-level moisture and instability aloft that could limit boundary-layer mixing and peak heating. Ensemble spreads across GFS and ECMWF models show 1–2°C variance due to uncertain cloud evolution and frontal timing, with new 12z runs and April 12 observations likely to sharpen implied probabilities before resolution based on official airport measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Toronto le 13 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Toronto le 13 avril ?
19°C 25%
20°C 25.0%
21°C 20%
22°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 avr. 2026
14°C ou moins
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18 °C
9%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
20%
22°C
11%
23°C
4%
24°C ou plus
2%
19°C 25%
20°C 25.0%
21°C 20%
22°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 avr. 2026
14°C ou moins
$1,761 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,605 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,212 Vol.
2%
17°C
$664 Vol.
5%
18 °C
$1,167 Vol.
9%
19°C
$439 Vol.
25%
20°C
$497 Vol.
25%
21°C
$535 Vol.
20%
22°C
$460 Vol.
11%
23°C
$493 Vol.
4%
24°C ou plus
$829 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 19–21°C for Toronto's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting the latest Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts showing daytime highs near 20°C under cloudy conditions with 40% shower chances. This positioning stems from a warm air mass advected from the southern U.S., boosting above-average potential (historical April 13 average ~12°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport), tempered by low-level moisture and instability aloft that could limit boundary-layer mixing and peak heating. Ensemble spreads across GFS and ECMWF models show 1–2°C variance due to uncertain cloud evolution and frontal timing, with new 12z runs and April 12 observations likely to sharpen implied probabilities before resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$9,660Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 19–21°C for Toronto's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting the latest Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts showing daytime highs near 20°C under cloudy conditions with 40% shower chances. This positioning stems from a warm air mass advected from the southern U.S., boosting above-average potential (historical April 13 average ~12°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport), tempered by low-level moisture and instability aloft that could limit boundary-layer mixing and peak heating. Ensemble spreads across GFS and ECMWF models show 1–2°C variance due to uncertain cloud evolution and frontal timing, with new 12z runs and April 12 observations likely to sharpen implied probabilities before resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,660Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 19–21°C for Toronto's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting the latest Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasts showing daytime highs near 20°C under cloudy conditions with 40% shower chances. This positioning stems from a warm air mass advected from the southern U.S., boosting above-average potential (historical April 13 average ~12°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport), tempered by low-level moisture and instability aloft that could limit boundary-layer mixing and peak heating. Ensemble spreads across GFS and ECMWF models show 1–2°C variance due to uncertain cloud evolution and frontal timing, with new 12z runs and April 12 observations likely to sharpen implied probabilities before resolution based on official airport measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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