Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning trader sentiment with 15°C leading at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (26.5%) and 14°C (25.5%). This consensus reflects April 16 observations of mild highs near 15°C amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, allowing moderate diurnal heating from a cool continental air mass. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-level moisture persistence—clearer afternoons in some runs boost toward 16-17°C, while residual clouds from prior showers cap others at 14°C—highlighting inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer evolution. IMGW updates and Chopin Airport data later today will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
15°C 34%
16°C 27%
14°C 24%
17°C or higher 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
8%
14°C
24%
15°C
34%
16°C
27%
17°C or higher
11%
15°C 34%
16°C 27%
14°C 24%
17°C or higher 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
7°C or below
$844 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,338 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,639 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$753 Vol.
1%
11°C
$1,168 Vol.
1%
12°C
$595 Vol.
4%
13°C
$888 Vol.
8%
14°C
$467 Vol.
24%
15°C
$336 Vol.
34%
16°C
$557 Vol.
27%
17°C or higher
$702 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning trader sentiment with 15°C leading at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (26.5%) and 14°C (25.5%). This consensus reflects April 16 observations of mild highs near 15°C amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, allowing moderate diurnal heating from a cool continental air mass. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-level moisture persistence—clearer afternoons in some runs boost toward 16-17°C, while residual clouds from prior showers cap others at 14°C—highlighting inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer evolution. IMGW updates and Chopin Airport data later today will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volume
$9,283Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning trader sentiment with 15°C leading at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (26.5%) and 14°C (25.5%). This consensus reflects April 16 observations of mild highs near 15°C amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, allowing moderate diurnal heating from a cool continental air mass. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-level moisture persistence—clearer afternoons in some runs boost toward 16-17°C, while residual clouds from prior showers cap others at 14°C—highlighting inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer evolution. IMGW updates and Chopin Airport data later today will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,283Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning trader sentiment with 15°C leading at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (26.5%) and 14°C (25.5%). This consensus reflects April 16 observations of mild highs near 15°C amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, allowing moderate diurnal heating from a cool continental air mass. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-level moisture persistence—clearer afternoons in some runs boost toward 16-17°C, while residual clouds from prior showers cap others at 14°C—highlighting inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer evolution. IMGW updates and Chopin Airport data later today will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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