Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C or below, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting cloudy skies with light rain and a daytime high of 22°C, though persistent overcast conditions and low early-morning temperatures around 13–16°C limit solar insolation and peak heating potential. Recent days align with this caution—April 11 peaked at 22°C amid similar cloudiness, while April 14 trends cooler per ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS. Mid-April climatological norms hover at 21–22°C, but precipitation odds of 40–60% introduce uncertainty; hourly observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will clarify the peak before evening model updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 15 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 15 avril ?
21°C ou moins 60.5%
22°C 30%
23°C 5%
24°C 2.1%
NOUVEAU
$24,561 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$24,561 Vol.
15 avr. 2026
21°C ou moins
61%
22°C
30%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
21°C ou moins 60.5%
22°C 30%
23°C 5%
24°C 2.1%
NOUVEAU
$24,561 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$24,561 Vol.
15 avr. 2026
21°C ou moins
$4,872 Vol.
61%
22°C
$1,188 Vol.
30%
23°C
$2,490 Vol.
5%
24°C
$3,219 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,450 Vol.
1%
26°C
$3,237 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,610 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$717 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$614 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$554 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$2,654 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C or below, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting cloudy skies with light rain and a daytime high of 22°C, though persistent overcast conditions and low early-morning temperatures around 13–16°C limit solar insolation and peak heating potential. Recent days align with this caution—April 11 peaked at 22°C amid similar cloudiness, while April 14 trends cooler per ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS. Mid-April climatological norms hover at 21–22°C, but precipitation odds of 40–60% introduce uncertainty; hourly observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will clarify the peak before evening model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$24,561Date de fin
15 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C or below, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting cloudy skies with light rain and a daytime high of 22°C, though persistent overcast conditions and low early-morning temperatures around 13–16°C limit solar insolation and peak heating potential. Recent days align with this caution—April 11 peaked at 22°C amid similar cloudiness, while April 14 trends cooler per ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS. Mid-April climatological norms hover at 21–22°C, but precipitation odds of 40–60% introduce uncertainty; hourly observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will clarify the peak before evening model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,561Date de fin
15 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C or below, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting cloudy skies with light rain and a daytime high of 22°C, though persistent overcast conditions and low early-morning temperatures around 13–16°C limit solar insolation and peak heating potential. Recent days align with this caution—April 11 peaked at 22°C amid similar cloudiness, while April 14 trends cooler per ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS. Mid-April climatological norms hover at 21–22°C, but precipitation odds of 40–60% introduce uncertainty; hourly observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will clarify the peak before evening model updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes