As of April 16, observed precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport totals around 2.2 inches for the first half of the month, boosted by 1.06 inches on April 14 and 0.36 inches on April 15 following a drier-than-normal start of just 0.80 inches through April 13. Trader sentiment favors 3-3.5 inches overall (40% implied probability) over 2.5-3 inches (31.5%), reflecting NOAA ensemble forecast consensus for 0.8-1.3 inches remaining amid decreasing wet-day chances from 46% early April to 34% by month-end. ENSO-neutral conditions preserve climatological variability—historical April average near 2.9 inches—while spring outlooks tilt toward 40-50% below-normal totals due to potential high-pressure ridging; monitor NWS daily summaries and GFS/ECMWF updates for late-month atmospheric river risks that could tip the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPrécipitations à Seattle en avril ?
Précipitations à Seattle en avril ?
2,5-3" 35%
3-3,5" 20%
3,5-4" 16.4%
<2,5" 14%
$44,605 Vol.
$44,605 Vol.
<2,5"
14%
2,5-3"
32%
3-3,5"
20%
3,5-4"
16%
4-4,5"
9%
4,5-5"
3%
>5"
3%
2,5-3" 35%
3-3,5" 20%
3,5-4" 16.4%
<2,5" 14%
$44,605 Vol.
$44,605 Vol.
<2,5"
14%
2,5-3"
32%
3-3,5"
20%
3,5-4"
16%
4-4,5"
9%
4,5-5"
3%
>5"
3%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of April 16, observed precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport totals around 2.2 inches for the first half of the month, boosted by 1.06 inches on April 14 and 0.36 inches on April 15 following a drier-than-normal start of just 0.80 inches through April 13. Trader sentiment favors 3-3.5 inches overall (40% implied probability) over 2.5-3 inches (31.5%), reflecting NOAA ensemble forecast consensus for 0.8-1.3 inches remaining amid decreasing wet-day chances from 46% early April to 34% by month-end. ENSO-neutral conditions preserve climatological variability—historical April average near 2.9 inches—while spring outlooks tilt toward 40-50% below-normal totals due to potential high-pressure ridging; monitor NWS daily summaries and GFS/ECMWF updates for late-month atmospheric river risks that could tip the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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